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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Nina Ansaroff won · U-DEC R3
Elo1493
Claudia Gadelha
Elo1492

Claudia GadelhavsNina AnsaroffUFC Prediction Result

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Saturday, December 8, 2018Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Nina Ansaroff won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nina Ansaroff wins(52.2%)

Actual result: Nina Ansaroff wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nina Ansaroff at +255 American odds

+$255 profit

$355 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Claudia Gadelha
Red Corner
VS
Nina Ansaroff
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
1493
Elo
1492
37
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
160.02 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Claudia Gadelha
oldest →
W
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 17
L
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 17
W
vs Carla Esparza · Jun 18
W
vs Angela Hill · May 20
L
vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 20
latest
Nina Ansaroff
oldest →
L
vs Justine Kish · Jan 16
W
SUBvs Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger · Jan 17
W
vs Angela Hill · Nov 17
W
vs Randa Markos · Jul 18
L
vs Tatiana Suarez · Jun 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Claudia GadelhaMetricNina Ansaroff
3.31
Strikes / min
—
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
—
57%
Strike defense
—
3.03
TDs / 15 min
—
58%
Takedown defense
—
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1536 vs 1516Strikes47.6 vs 71.0Takedowns3.9 vs 0.4Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.80Form0.4 vs 0.9
Claudia GadelhaNina Ansaroff

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Claudia Gadelha(10 fights)Nina Ansaroff(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Claudia Gadelha

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights11

Nina Ansaroff

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights1