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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Jessica Andrade won · U-DEC R3
Elo1493
Claudia Gadelha
Elo1484

Claudia GadelhavsJessica AndradeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · Friday, September 22, 2017Saitama, Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Jessica Andrade won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupClaudia Gadelha: WrestlervsJessica Andrade: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Claudia Gadelha wins(58.8%)

Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Claudia Gadelha at -290 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Jessica Andrade has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Claudia Gadelha
Red Corner
VS
Jessica Andrade
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
1493
Elo
1484
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'1"
160.02 cm
Reach
157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Claudia Gadelha
oldest →
W
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 17
W
vs Carla Esparza · Jun 18
L
vs Nina Ansaroff · Dec 18
W
vs Angela Hill · May 20
L
vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 20
latest
Jessica AndradeL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23
W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24
L
vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24
L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25
L
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Claudia GadelhaMetricJessica Andrade
3.31
Strikes / min
6.37
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
5.58
57%
Strike defense
54%
3.03
TDs / 15 min
2.10
58%
Takedown defense
75%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.26Δ 2.05 — meaningful gap+0.79

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1535 vs 1544Strikes52.2 vs 68.1Takedowns4.5 vs 1.7Sub Atts0.83 vs 0.45Form0.6 vs 0.2
Claudia GadelhaJessica Andrade

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Claudia Gadelha(10 fights)Jessica Andrade(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +9.2|Blue -9.2
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Claudia GadelhaTargetJessica Andrade

By target zone

41
47% acc · 98%
Head
83
47% acc · 59%
1
25% acc · 2%
Body
50
86% acc · 35%
0
Leg
8
100% acc · 6%

By position

30
42% acc · 71%
Distance
45
42% acc · 32%
9
60% acc · 21%
Clinch
18
72% acc · 13%
3
60% acc · 7%
Ground
78
72% acc · 55%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Claudia Gadelha rounds
0
even
3
Jessica Andrade rounds
Round 1Jessica Andrade edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:59Control
Round 2Jessica Andrade edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:08
52Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:15Control
Round 3Jessica Andrade edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
61Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
42 / 91
Sig Strikes
141 / 241
42.7%
Sig Str %
57%
47 / 96
Total Strikes
242 / 355
0 / 7
TDs
4 / 7
0%
TD %
66.3%
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:08
Ctrl Time
8:35

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jessica Andrade28 / 6248 / 821 / 10
1Claudia Gadelha23 / 5227 / 560 / 11
2Jessica Andrade52 / 9273 / 1221 / 30
2Claudia Gadelha16 / 2817 / 290 / 51
3Jessica Andrade61 / 87121 / 1512 / 30
3Claudia Gadelha3 / 113 / 110 / 10

Claudia Gadelha

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights11

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights30