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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Claudia Gadelha won · S-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1506

Claudia GadelhavsAngela HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · Saturday, May 16, 2020Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Claudia Gadelha won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupClaudia Gadelha: WrestlervsAngela Hill: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Claudia Gadelha wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Claudia Gadelha wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Claudia Gadelha at -255 American odds

+$39 profit

$139 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Claudia Gadelha

Red Corner

Angela Hill

Blue Corner

-255

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+215

(32%)

1493

Elo

1506

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'3"

160.02 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Claudia GadelhaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 17

vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 17

vs Carla Esparza · Jun 18

vs Nina Ansaroff · Dec 18

vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 20

latest

Angela Hill

oldest →

vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24

vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25

vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25

DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Claudia GadelhaMetricAngela Hill

3.31

Strikes / min

5.37

4.57

Strikes absorbed / min

5.02

57%

Strike defense

60%

3.03

TDs / 15 min

0.75

58%

Takedown defense

72%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.26Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Claudia GadelhaAngela Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Claudia Gadelha(10 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.1|Blue +13.1

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Layoff

Red +441.0|Blue -441.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Claudia GadelhaTargetAngela Hill

By target zone

34% acc · 73%

Head

44% acc · 67%

67% acc · 17%

Body

74% acc · 32%

90% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 1%

By position

39% acc · 93%

Distance

51% acc · 96%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Claudia Gadelha rounds

even

Angela Hill rounds

Round 1Claudia Gadelha edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control2:33

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:07

Knockdowns0

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:34Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:07

43Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

84 / 210

Sig Strikes

90 / 176

40%

Sig Str %

48%

92 / 218

Total Strikes

93 / 179

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:47

Ctrl Time

0:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Angela Hill	10 / 26	13 / 29	0 / 0
1	Claudia Gadelha	21 / 47	28 / 54	1 / 2
2	Angela Hill	37 / 72	37 / 72	0 / 0
2	Claudia Gadelha	29 / 71	30 / 72	0 / 2
3	Angela Hill	43 / 78	43 / 78	0 / 0
3	Claudia Gadelha	34 / 92	34 / 92	0 / 0

Claudia Gadelha

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights11

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights30