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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ramazan Temirov won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1486
CJ Vergara
Elo1547
Ramazan Temirov editorial illustration

CJ VergaravsRamazan TemirovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Saturday, October 12, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ramazan Temirov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:50

Style matchupCJ Vergara: Pressure fightervsRamazan Temirov: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Ramazan Temirov wins(67.5%)

Actual result: Ramazan Temirov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramazan Temirov at -298 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ramazan Temirov has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • CJ Vergara has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

CJ Vergara
Red Corner
VS
Ramazan Temirov
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-298
(75%)
1486
Elo
1547
35
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

CJ VergaraL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 22
W
KOvs Daniel Lacerda · Mar 23
W
vs Vinicius Salvador · Jul 23
L
vs Asu Almabayev · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Mar 25
latest
Ramazan TemirovW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Charles Johnson · Mar 25
W
KOvs Steve Erceg · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

CJ VergaraMetricRamazan Temirov
5.02
Strikes / min
4.37
4.69
Strikes absorbed / min
3.93
53%
Strike defense
59%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.84
60%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.44

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1500Strikes5.1 vs 8.1Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs 0.0
CJ VergaraRamazan Temirov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701493151515381560← oldermost recent →
CJ Vergara(8 fights)Ramazan Temirov(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -61.0|Blue +61.0
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

CJ VergaraTargetRamazan Temirov

By target zone

1
8% acc · 25%
Head
18
39% acc · 78%
1
100% acc · 25%
Body
4
50% acc · 17%
2
67% acc · 50%
Leg
1
100% acc · 4%

By position

4
25% acc · 100%
Distance
20
40% acc · 87%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
3
60% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
CJ Vergara rounds
0
even
1
Ramazan Temirov rounds
Round 1Ramazan Temirov edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
3Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
3
4 / 16
Sig Strikes
23 / 55
25%
Sig Str %
41%
4 / 16
Total Strikes
23 / 55
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:05

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ramazan Temirov23 / 5523 / 550 / 00
1CJ Vergara4 / 164 / 160 / 00

CJ Vergara

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8

Ramazan Temirov

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights3