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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ciryl Gane won · U-DEC R3

Elo1531

Elo1484

Ciryl GanevsTanner BoserUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, December 21, 2019Busan, South Korea

Official fight result

Ciryl Gane won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCiryl Gane: Elusive strikervsTanner Boser: Striker

Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.

Model Prediction: Ciryl Gane wins(75.6%)

Actual result: Ciryl Gane wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ciryl Gane at -641 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tanner Boser has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ciryl Gane has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ciryl Gane

Red Corner

Tanner Boser

Blue Corner

-641

(87%)

Vegas Odds

+484

(17%)

1531

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'2"

205.74 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ciryl Gane

oldest →

SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23

KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23

vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24

vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25

KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 26

latest

Tanner Boser

oldest →

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Jun 21

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Sep 22

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Apr 23

vs Aleksa Camur · Aug 23

KOvs Gokhan Saricam · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ciryl GaneMetricTanner Boser

5.29

Strikes / min

4.82

2.33

Strikes absorbed / min

3.00

60%

Strike defense

57%

0.68

TDs / 15 min

0.00

47%

Takedown defense

69%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.96Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap+1.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ciryl GaneTanner Boser

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ciryl Gane(10 fights)Tanner Boser(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +47.0|Blue -47.0

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -8.0|Blue +8.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ciryl GaneTargetTanner Boser

By target zone

29% acc · 55%

Head

16% acc · 41%

81% acc · 34%

Body

83% acc · 16%

88% acc · 11%

Leg

93% acc · 44%

By position

38% acc · 88%

Distance

31% acc · 100%

89% acc · 12%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ciryl Gane rounds

even

Tanner Boser rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Ciryl Gane edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ciryl Gane edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

65 / 160

Sig Strikes

32 / 104

38.3%

Sig Str %

30.7%

65 / 160

Total Strikes

32 / 104

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tanner Boser	10 / 31	10 / 31	0 / 0
1	Ciryl Gane	10 / 38	10 / 38	0 / 0
2	Tanner Boser	13 / 37	13 / 37	0 / 0
2	Ciryl Gane	21 / 47	21 / 47	0 / 1
3	Tanner Boser	9 / 36	9 / 36	0 / 0
3	Ciryl Gane	34 / 75	34 / 75	0 / 0

Ciryl Gane

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights13

Tanner Boser

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10