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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Chris Cope won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1351

Chuck O'NeilvsChris CopeUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · Saturday, June 4, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Cope won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChuck O'Neil: StrikervsChris Cope: Striker

Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.

Model Prediction: Chuck O'Neil wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Chris Cope wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chuck O'Neil at -175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chuck O'Neil has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Chris Cope has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Chuck O'Neil has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chuck O'Neil

Red Corner

Chris Cope

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+155

(39%)

1490

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

193 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chuck O'NeilNo prior UFC fights on record.

Chris CopeL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Che Mills · Nov 11

KOvs Matt Brown · Feb 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chuck O'NeilMetricChris Cope

3.13

Strikes / min

3.96

4.40

Strikes absorbed / min

4.82

72%

Strike defense

50%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.27evenly matched on net striking-0.86

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chuck O'Neil(1 fights)Chris Cope(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +138.9|Blue -138.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chuck O'NeilTargetChris Cope

By target zone

20% acc · 38%

Head

16% acc · 44%

82% acc · 19%

Body

54% acc · 29%

83% acc · 43%

Leg

69% acc · 27%

By position

34% acc · 87%

Distance

25% acc · 86%

100% acc · 13%

Clinch

90% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chuck O'Neil rounds

even

Chris Cope rounds

Round 1Chuck O'Neil edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:52

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Chris Cope edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:12

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 3Chris Cope edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:41

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 125

Sig Strikes

66 / 238

37.3%

Sig Str %

27%

48 / 126

Total Strikes

83 / 256

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:45

Ctrl Time

0:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chris Cope	17 / 63	20 / 67	0 / 0
1	Chuck O'Neil	18 / 47	19 / 48	0 / 0
2	Chris Cope	20 / 88	23 / 91	0 / 0
2	Chuck O'Neil	17 / 38	17 / 38	0 / 0
3	Chris Cope	29 / 87	40 / 98	0 / 0
3	Chuck O'Neil	12 / 40	12 / 40	0 / 2

Chuck O'Neil

Stance—

Height74.0"

Reach—

Fights1

Chris Cope

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3