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Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Rich Franklin won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1490
Chuck Liddell
Elo1490
Rich Franklin

Chuck LiddellvsRich FranklinUFC Prediction Result

UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · Saturday, June 12, 2010Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Rich Franklin won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:55

Model Prediction: Rich Franklin wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Rich Franklin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rich Franklin at +109 American odds

+$109 profit

$209 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chuck Liddell has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Rich Franklin (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Chuck Liddell
Red Corner
VS
Rich Franklin
Blue Corner
-119
(54%)
Vegas Odds
+109
(48%)
1490
Elo
1490
56
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chuck LiddellNo prior UFC fights on record.
Rich Franklin
oldest →
L
vs Forrest Griffin · Feb 11
W
vs Wanderlei Silva · Jun 12
L
KOvs Cung Le · Nov 12
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chuck LiddellMetricRich Franklin
2.97
Strikes / min
4.10
2.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.07
56%
Strike defense
62%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
1.31
81%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.26Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap+2.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes27.0 vs 41.6Takedowns0.3 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.13Form0.0 vs 0.0
Chuck LiddellRich Franklin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Chuck Liddell(1 fights)Rich Franklin(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chuck LiddellTargetRich Franklin

By target zone

12
34% acc · 71%
Head
14
35% acc · 58%
2
100% acc · 12%
Body
4
80% acc · 17%
3
75% acc · 18%
Leg
6
86% acc · 25%

By position

14
39% acc · 82%
Distance
20
43% acc · 83%
2
50% acc · 12%
Clinch
2
50% acc · 8%
1
100% acc · 6%
Ground
2
100% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Chuck Liddell rounds
0
even
1
Rich Franklin rounds
Round 1Rich Franklin edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:29
Knockdowns0
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
17 / 41
Sig Strikes
24 / 52
41%
Sig Str %
46%
19 / 44
Total Strikes
27 / 55
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:29
Ctrl Time
0:05

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Rich Franklin24 / 5227 / 550 / 00
1Chuck Liddell17 / 4119 / 441 / 10

Chuck Liddell

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights1

Rich Franklin

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4