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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Christos Giagos won · SUB

Elo1495

Elo1411

Christos GiagosvsSean SorianoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · Saturday, May 15, 2021Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Christos Giagos won

SUB

Model Prediction: Christos Giagos wins(74.5%)

Actual result: Christos Giagos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Christos Giagos at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sean Soriano enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Christos Giagos

Red Corner

Sean Soriano

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1495

Elo

1411

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Christos GiagosL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Sep 21

SUBvs Thiago Moises · Jun 22

KOvs Ricky Glenn · Apr 23

SUBvs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 23

KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 24

latest

Sean SorianoL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tatsuya Kawajiri · Jan 14

vs Chas Skelly · Sep 14

SUBvs Charles Rosa · Jan 15

vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Nov 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Christos GiagosMetricSean Soriano

3.03

Strikes / min

3.18

3.21

Strikes absorbed / min

2.14

50%

Strike defense

56%

2.84

TDs / 15 min

1.33

52%

Takedown defense

52%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.18Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap+1.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Christos GiagosSean Soriano

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Christos Giagos(10 fights)Sean Soriano(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +83.2|Blue -83.2

Recent Form

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -2162.0|Blue +2162.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Christos GiagosTargetSean Soriano

By target zone

35% acc · 68%

Head

46% acc · 48%

56% acc · 23%

Body

89% acc · 24%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 27%

By position

38% acc · 86%

Distance

60% acc · 91%

67% acc · 9%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Christos Giagos rounds

even

Sean Soriano rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns2

Control0:32

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control0:27

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 54

Sig Strikes

33 / 53

29.5%

Sig Str %

57%

23 / 55

Total Strikes

37 / 57

3 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:59

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sean Soriano	29 / 45	33 / 49	0 / 0	0
1	Christos Giagos	21 / 48	21 / 48	2 / 4	0
2	Sean Soriano	4 / 8	4 / 8	0 / 0	0
2	Christos Giagos	1 / 6	2 / 7	1 / 1	1

Christos Giagos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights14

Sean Soriano

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights5