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Catch Weight

3 Rounds

Eryk Anders won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1494

Elo1512

Chris WeidmanvsEryk AndersUFC Prediction Result

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Saturday, December 7, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Eryk Anders won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:51

Style matchupChris Weidman: WrestlervsEryk Anders: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Chris Weidman wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Eryk Anders wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Weidman at -112 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Eryk Anders is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Chris Weidman has lost 88% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Eryk Anders (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Chris Weidman

Red Corner

Eryk Anders

Blue Corner

-112

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-108

(52%)

1494

Elo

1512

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'1"

198.12 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Weidman

oldest →

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Oct 19

DECvs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20

KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21

vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23

vs Bruno Silva · Mar 24

latest

Eryk Anders

oldest →

KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Dec 22

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23

vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25

vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris WeidmanMetricEryk Anders

3.11

Strikes / min

3.44

3.37

Strikes absorbed / min

4.03

51%

Strike defense

50%

3.27

TDs / 15 min

1.83

72%

Takedown defense

80%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris WeidmanEryk Anders

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Weidman(10 fights)Eryk Anders(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -17.5|Blue +17.5

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris WeidmanTargetEryk Anders

By target zone

37% acc · 69%

Head

58% acc · 90%

83% acc · 31%

Body

100% acc · 10%

Leg

By position

52% acc · 75%

Distance

28% acc · 11%

0% acc

Clinch

58% acc · 11%

36% acc · 25%

Ground

74% acc · 77%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Weidman rounds

even

Eryk Anders rounds

Round 1Chris Weidman edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control2:10

Knockdowns1

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:41Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Eryk Anders edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:05

51Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:43Control

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 36

Sig Strikes

62 / 102

40%

Sig Str %

55.5%

27 / 50

Total Strikes

121 / 193

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 6

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:15

Ctrl Time

4:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Eryk Anders	11 / 23	12 / 29	0 / 4	0
1	Chris Weidman	13 / 26	20 / 36	0 / 1	0
2	Eryk Anders	51 / 79	109 / 164	0 / 2	0
2	Chris Weidman	3 / 10	7 / 14	0 / 0	1

Chris Weidman

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights20

Eryk Anders

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19