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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Chris Weidman won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1494

Elo1391

Chris WeidmanvsAnderson SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · Saturday, December 28, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Weidman won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:16

Style matchupChris Weidman: WrestlervsAnderson Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Chris Weidman wins(50.9%)

Actual result: Chris Weidman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Weidman at +165 American odds

+$165 profit

$265 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anderson Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Anderson Silva is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Chris Weidman has lost 88% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Anderson Silva (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Chris Weidman

Red Corner

Anderson Silva

Blue Corner

+165

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-175

(64%)

1494

Elo

1391

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'2"

198.12 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Weidman

oldest →

DECvs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20

KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21

vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23

vs Bruno Silva · Mar 24

KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24

latest

Anderson SilvaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Daniel Cormier · Jul 16

vs Derek Brunson · Feb 17

vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19

KOvs Jared Cannonier · May 19

KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris WeidmanMetricAnderson Silva

3.11

Strikes / min

3.05

3.37

Strikes absorbed / min

2.05

51%

Strike defense

60%

3.27

TDs / 15 min

0.50

72%

Takedown defense

69%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.26Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap+1.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris WeidmanAnderson Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Weidman(10 fights)Anderson Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +103.7|Blue -103.7

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris WeidmanTargetAnderson Silva

By target zone

44% acc · 90%

Head

29% acc · 25%

67% acc · 10%

Body

80% acc · 50%

Leg

67% acc · 25%

By position

11% acc · 5%

Distance

25% acc · 25%

100% acc · 10%

Clinch

80% acc · 50%

52% acc · 85%

Ground

100% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Weidman rounds

even

Anderson Silva rounds

Round 1Chris Weidman edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control4:20

Knockdowns1

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:01

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 44

Sig Strikes

8 / 15

33%

Sig Str %

55%

34 / 60

Total Strikes

32 / 45

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:21

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Anderson Silva	6 / 7	30 / 37	0 / 0	0
1	Chris Weidman	19 / 38	33 / 54	1 / 1	1
2	Anderson Silva	2 / 8	2 / 8	0 / 0	0
2	Chris Weidman	1 / 6	1 / 6	0 / 0	0

Chris Weidman

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights20

Anderson Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14