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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Chris Wade won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1495

Chris WadevsChristos GiagosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · Saturday, June 6, 2015New Orleans, Louisiana, USA

Official fight result

Chris Wade won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChris Wade: WrestlervsChristos Giagos: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Chris Wade wins(75.8%)

Actual result: Chris Wade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Wade at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Wade threatens submissions; Christos Giagos has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Wade

Red Corner

Christos Giagos

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1491

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Wade

oldest →

DECvs Zhang Lipeng · Jan 15

SUBvs Mehdi Baghdad · Jan 16

vs Rustam Khabilov · May 16

vs Islam Makhachev · Sep 16

vs Frankie Perez · Jul 17

latest

Christos GiagosL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Sep 21

SUBvs Thiago Moises · Jun 22

KOvs Ricky Glenn · Apr 23

SUBvs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 23

KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris WadeMetricChristos Giagos

1.70

Strikes / min

3.03

1.75

Strikes absorbed / min

3.21

51%

Strike defense

50%

2.60

TDs / 15 min

2.84

55%

Takedown defense

52%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.05evenly matched on net striking-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris WadeChristos Giagos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Wade(7 fights)Christos Giagos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.9|Blue +3.9

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +62.0|Blue -62.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris WadeTargetChristos Giagos

By target zone

42% acc · 47%

Head

24% acc · 61%

75% acc · 28%

Body

77% acc · 36%

89% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

52% acc · 72%

Distance

28% acc · 68%

64% acc · 22%

Clinch

56% acc · 32%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Wade rounds

even

Christos Giagos rounds

Round 1Chris Wade edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns2

Control1:40

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:55Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control2:11

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:41Control

Round 3Chris Wade edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns2

Control2:37

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 57

Sig Strikes

28 / 84

51.7%

Sig Str %

32%

55 / 80

Total Strikes

41 / 98

4 / 7

TDs

0 / 4

66.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:28

Ctrl Time

2:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Christos Giagos	9 / 31	15 / 37	0 / 2
1	Chris Wade	18 / 28	21 / 31	2 / 2
2	Christos Giagos	5 / 17	11 / 24	0 / 1
2	Chris Wade	4 / 11	10 / 17	0 / 3
3	Christos Giagos	14 / 36	15 / 37	0 / 1
3	Chris Wade	10 / 18	24 / 32	2 / 2

Chris Wade

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7

Christos Giagos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights14