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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Draw won · Decision R3
Elo1548
Elo1526
MarQuel Mederos

Chris PadillavsMarQuel MederosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA

Official fight result

Draw

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChris Padilla: Pressure fightervsMarQuel Mederos: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chris Padilla enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • MarQuel Mederos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Chris Padilla has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Padilla
Red Corner
VS
MarQuel Mederos
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1548
Elo
1526
30
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris PadillaW4 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs James Llontop · Apr 24
W
KOvs Rongzhu · Sep 24
W
vs Jai Herbert · Mar 25
W
KOvs Ismael Bonfim · Nov 25
latest
MarQuel MederosW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Landon Quinones · Feb 24
W
vs Austin Hubbard · Mar 25
W
vs Mark Choinski · Jun 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris PadillaMetricMarQuel Mederos
6.19
Strikes / min
5.46
4.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.58
49%
Strike defense
52%
1.13
TDs / 15 min
0.23
80%
Takedown defense
82%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.31evenly matched on net striking+0.88
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901508152515431560← oldermost recent →
Chris Padilla(5 fights)MarQuel Mederos(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +22.6|Blue -22.6
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -154.0|Blue +154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Chris Padilla

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4

MarQuel Mederos

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3