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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Uriah Hall won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1353
Chris Leben
Elo1430
Uriah Hall

Chris LebenvsUriah HallUFC Prediction Result

UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · Saturday, December 28, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Uriah Hall won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Uriah Hall wins(66.0%)

Actual result: Uriah Hall wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Uriah Hall at -325 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chris Leben enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Uriah Hall is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Chris Leben has lost 60% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Chris Leben (53.5%).
  • Uriah Hall has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Leben
Red Corner
VS
Uriah Hall
Blue Corner
+295
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-325
(76%)
1353
Elo
1430
46
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris LebenL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Brian Stann · Jan 11
W
KOvs Wanderlei Silva · Jul 11
L
KOvs Mark Munoz · Nov 11
L
vs Derek Brunson · Dec 12
L
vs Andrew Craig · Jul 13
latest
Uriah HallL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Antonio Carlos Junior · Sep 19
W
KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 20
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 21
L
vs Sean Strickland · Jul 21
L
vs Andre Muniz · Jul 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris LebenMetricUriah Hall
2.87
Strikes / min
3.23
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
3.85
52%
Strike defense
54%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
0.54
53%
Takedown defense
64%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
0.00evenly matched on net striking-0.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1480 vs 1462Strikes26.7 vs 42.5Takedowns0.8 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.48 vs 0.00Form-0.8 vs -1.0
Chris LebenUriah Hall

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Chris Leben(8 fights)Uriah Hall(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris LebenTargetUriah Hall

By target zone

1
6% acc · 9%
Head
15
41% acc · 75%
3
75% acc · 27%
Body
4
57% acc · 20%
7
58% acc · 64%
Leg
1
50% acc · 5%

By position

10
31% acc · 91%
Distance
16
42% acc · 80%
1
100% acc · 9%
Clinch
1
50% acc · 5%
0
Ground
3
50% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Chris Leben rounds
0
even
1
Uriah Hall rounds
Round 1Uriah Hall edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
11 / 33
Sig Strikes
20 / 46
33%
Sig Str %
43%
11 / 33
Total Strikes
22 / 49
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:06

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Uriah Hall20 / 4622 / 490 / 00
1Chris Leben11 / 3311 / 330 / 00

Chris Leben

StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8

Uriah Hall

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights20