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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Vik Grujic won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1353
Elo1355
Vik Grujic

Chris IndichvsVik GrujicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · Saturday, June 28, 2014Auckland, New Zealand

Official fight result

Vik Grujic won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:55

Model Prediction: Chris Indich wins(74.1%)

Actual result: Vik Grujic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Indich at -105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Vik Grujic enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Vik Grujic is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chris Indich has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Chris Indich has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Indich
Red Corner
VS
Vik Grujic
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
1353
Elo
1355
39
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Indich
oldest →
L
vs Richard Walsh · Apr 14
latest
Vik GrujicL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Nordine Taleb · Apr 14
L
KOvs Chris Clements · Nov 14
L
vs Brendan O'Reilly · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris IndichMetricVik Grujic
1.31
Strikes / min
2.24
4.32
Strikes absorbed / min
3.39
43%
Strike defense
41%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
1.18
50%
Takedown defense
26%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.01Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap-1.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1482Strikes12.0 vs 4.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts2.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Chris IndichVik Grujic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Chris Indich(2 fights)Vik Grujic(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris IndichTargetVik Grujic

By target zone

3
14% acc · 21%
Head
12
44% acc · 80%
6
86% acc · 43%
Body
1
100% acc · 7%
5
71% acc · 36%
Leg
2
100% acc · 13%

By position

6
24% acc · 43%
Distance
10
48% acc · 67%
8
80% acc · 57%
Clinch
5
63% acc · 33%
0
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Chris Indich rounds
0
even
1
Vik Grujic rounds
Round 1Vik Grujic edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control0:57
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
14 / 35
Sig Strikes
15 / 30
40%
Sig Str %
50%
20 / 42
Total Strikes
24 / 39
1 / 1
TDs
1 / 3
100%
TD %
33%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:57
Ctrl Time
1:42

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Vik Grujic15 / 3024 / 391 / 30
1Chris Indich14 / 3520 / 421 / 10

Chris Indich

Stance—
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2

Vik Grujic

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4