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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Chris Holdsworth won · SUB R2

Elo1490

Elo1521

Chris HoldsworthvsDavey GrantUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · Saturday, November 30, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Holdsworth won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:10

Style matchupChris Holdsworth: WrestlervsDavey Grant: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Chris Holdsworth wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Chris Holdsworth wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Holdsworth at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Holdsworth threatens submissions; Davey Grant has lost 57% of fights by sub.
Chris Holdsworth has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Holdsworth

Red Corner

Davey Grant

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1490

Elo

1521

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Holdsworth

oldest →

vs Chico Camus · May 14

latest

Davey Grant

oldest →

vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23

vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24

vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25

DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris HoldsworthMetricDavey Grant

1.85

Strikes / min

5.58

1.94

Strikes absorbed / min

4.04

58%

Strike defense

54%

3.38

TDs / 15 min

0.95

100%

Takedown defense

65%

2.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.09Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap+1.54

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Holdsworth(2 fights)Davey Grant(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -30.3|Blue +30.3

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris HoldsworthTargetDavey Grant

By target zone

19% acc · 47%

Head

19% acc · 22%

44% acc · 27%

Body

61% acc · 61%

100% acc · 27%

Leg

60% acc · 17%

By position

21% acc · 47%

Distance

38% acc · 72%

57% acc · 53%

Clinch

50% acc · 28%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Holdsworth rounds

even

Davey Grant rounds

Round 1Chris Holdsworth edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control2:24

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 2Chris Holdsworth edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control1:25

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 50

Sig Strikes

18 / 44

28.5%

Sig Str %

40.5%

41 / 78

Total Strikes

19 / 45

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 3

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:49

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Davey Grant	14 / 34	15 / 35	0 / 3	0
1	Chris Holdsworth	12 / 39	33 / 62	0 / 1	0
2	Davey Grant	4 / 10	4 / 10	0 / 0	0
2	Chris Holdsworth	3 / 11	8 / 16	1 / 1	1

Chris Holdsworth

Stance—

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Davey Grant

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights16