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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Chris Holdsworth won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1355

Chris HoldsworthvsChico CamusUFC Prediction Result

UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · Saturday, May 24, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Holdsworth won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChris Holdsworth: WrestlervsChico Camus: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Chico Camus wins(53.4%)

Actual result: Chris Holdsworth wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chico Camus at +320 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Holdsworth has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Chris Holdsworth has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Holdsworth

Red Corner

Chico Camus

Blue Corner

-355

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+320

(24%)

1490

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'6"

180.34 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Holdsworth

oldest →

SUBvs Davey Grant · Nov 13

latest

Chico CamusL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Dustin Kimura · Feb 13

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 13

vs Brad Pickett · Nov 14

vs Henry Cejudo · Jun 15

vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Sep 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris HoldsworthMetricChico Camus

1.85

Strikes / min

2.58

1.94

Strikes absorbed / min

2.46

58%

Strike defense

64%

3.38

TDs / 15 min

0.77

100%

Takedown defense

72%

2.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.09evenly matched on net striking+0.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris HoldsworthChico Camus

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Holdsworth(2 fights)Chico Camus(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +134.9|Blue -134.9

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris HoldsworthTargetChico Camus

By target zone

26% acc · 77%

Head

41% acc · 84%

50% acc · 19%

Body

25% acc · 4%

50% acc · 4%

Leg

75% acc · 12%

By position

28% acc · 92%

Distance

43% acc · 100%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Holdsworth rounds

even

Chico Camus rounds

Round 1Chris Holdsworth edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control2:33

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Chris Holdsworth edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control3:48

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Chris Holdsworth edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control3:56

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 88

Sig Strikes

25 / 59

31.7%

Sig Str %

44.3%

140 / 225

Total Strikes

33 / 67

4 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

72%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

10:17

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chico Camus	10 / 27	12 / 29	0 / 0	0
1	Chris Holdsworth	13 / 50	39 / 79	1 / 2	0
2	Chico Camus	6 / 11	6 / 11	0 / 0	0
2	Chris Holdsworth	6 / 21	69 / 92	2 / 3	1
3	Chico Camus	9 / 21	15 / 27	0 / 0	0
3	Chris Holdsworth	7 / 17	32 / 54	1 / 1	1

Chris Holdsworth

Stance—

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Chico Camus

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7