Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Chris Gutierrez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1508

Elo1483

Chris GutierrezvsQuang LeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Saturday, August 10, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Gutierrez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChris Gutierrez: Elusive strikervsQuang Le: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Chris Gutierrez wins(73.4%)

Actual result: Chris Gutierrez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Gutierrez at -720 American odds

+$14 profit

$114 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Gutierrez has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Quang Le has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Gutierrez

Red Corner

Quang Le

Blue Corner

-720

(88%)

Vegas Odds

+450

(18%)

1508

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Gutierrez

oldest →

vs Pedro Munhoz · Apr 23

vs Alatengheili · Oct 23

vs Song Yadong · Dec 23

vs John Castaneda · Apr 25

vs Farid Basharat · Oct 25

latest

Quang Le

oldest →

KOvs Xiao Long · Nov 24

SUBvs Gaston Bolanos · May 25

KOvs Santiago Luna · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris GutierrezMetricQuang Le

4.40

Strikes / min

2.82

2.65

Strikes absorbed / min

4.59

63%

Strike defense

49%

0.30

TDs / 15 min

2.90

67%

Takedown defense

100%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.75Δ 3.52 — meaningful gap-1.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris GutierrezQuang Le

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Gutierrez(10 fights)Quang Le(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.7|Blue -24.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris GutierrezTargetQuang Le

By target zone

68% acc · 39%

Head

11% acc · 38%

80% acc · 7%

Body

63% acc · 31%

82% acc · 54%

Leg

83% acc · 31%

By position

75% acc · 98%

Distance

24% acc · 94%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

Ground

17% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Gutierrez rounds

even

Quang Le rounds

Round 1Chris Gutierrez edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:02

5Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:44Control

Round 2Quang Le edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:14Control

Round 3Chris Gutierrez edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:10

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

59 / 78

Sig Strikes

16 / 69

71.3%

Sig Str %

25.7%

69 / 88

Total Strikes

32 / 87

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 11

—

TD %

22%

Sub Att

Rev

0:12

Ctrl Time

4:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Quang Le	5 / 30	7 / 32	2 / 3
1	Chris Gutierrez	22 / 28	25 / 31	0 / 0
2	Quang Le	5 / 13	19 / 29	0 / 5
2	Chris Gutierrez	7 / 12	12 / 17	0 / 0
3	Quang Le	6 / 26	6 / 26	0 / 3
3	Chris Gutierrez	30 / 38	32 / 40	0 / 0

Chris Gutierrez

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights14

Quang Le

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4