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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Farid Basharat won · U-DEC R3

Elo1508

Elo1576

Chris GutierrezvsFarid BasharatUFC Prediction Result

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · Saturday, October 4, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Farid Basharat won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChris Gutierrez: Elusive strikervsFarid Basharat: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Farid Basharat wins(83.0%)

Actual result: Farid Basharat wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Farid Basharat at -560 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Farid Basharat enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Farid Basharat has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Gutierrez

Red Corner

Farid Basharat

Blue Corner

+420

(19%)

Vegas Odds

-560

(85%)

1508

Elo

1576

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

170.18 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris GutierrezW2 streak

oldest →

vs Pedro Munhoz · Apr 23

vs Alatengheili · Oct 23

vs Song Yadong · Dec 23

vs Quang Le · Aug 24

vs John Castaneda · Apr 25

latest

Farid BasharatW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Kleydson Rodrigues · Sep 23

vs Taylor Lapilus · Jan 24

vs Victor Hugo · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 26

DECvs John Garza · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris GutierrezMetricFarid Basharat

4.40

Strikes / min

4.25

2.65

Strikes absorbed / min

2.89

63%

Strike defense

62%

0.30

TDs / 15 min

3.34

67%

Takedown defense

54%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.75evenly matched on net striking+1.36

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris GutierrezFarid Basharat

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Gutierrez(10 fights)Farid Basharat(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -68.7|Blue +68.7

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -182.0|Blue +182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris GutierrezTargetFarid Basharat

By target zone

29% acc · 58%

Head

25% acc · 46%

0% acc

Body

45% acc · 12%

65% acc · 42%

Leg

71% acc · 41%

By position

35% acc · 97%

Distance

38% acc · 95%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

33% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Gutierrez rounds

even

Farid Basharat rounds

Round 1Farid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:39Control

Round 2Farid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 3Chris Gutierrez edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control0:42

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:35Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 86

Sig Strikes

41 / 110

36.7%

Sig Str %

36.3%

61 / 119

Total Strikes

56 / 126

1 / 1

TDs

2 / 2

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:42

Ctrl Time

3:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Farid Basharat	9 / 24	23 / 39	1 / 1
1	Chris Gutierrez	3 / 7	27 / 32	0 / 0
2	Farid Basharat	20 / 48	21 / 49	0 / 0
2	Chris Gutierrez	9 / 33	11 / 35	0 / 0
3	Farid Basharat	12 / 38	12 / 38	1 / 1
3	Chris Gutierrez	19 / 46	23 / 52	1 / 1

Chris Gutierrez

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights14

Farid Basharat

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9