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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Chris Gutierrez won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1508
Elo1456

Chris GutierrezvsBatgerel DanaaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Saturday, March 26, 2022Columbus, Ohio, USA

Official fight result

Chris Gutierrez won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:34

Style matchupChris Gutierrez: Elusive strikervsBatgerel Danaa: Pressure fighter

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Chris Gutierrez wins(66.7%)

Actual result: Chris Gutierrez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Gutierrez at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chris Gutierrez has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Gutierrez
Red Corner
VS
Batgerel Danaa
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
1508
Elo
1456
35
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Gutierrez
oldest →
W
vs Alatengheili · Oct 23
L
vs Song Yadong · Dec 23
W
vs Quang Le · Aug 24
W
vs John Castaneda · Apr 25
L
vs Farid Basharat · Oct 25
latest
Batgerel DanaaL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Brandon Davis · Oct 21
L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Jun 22
L
KOvs Brady Hiestand · Apr 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris GutierrezMetricBatgerel Danaa
4.40
Strikes / min
5.38
2.65
Strikes absorbed / min
4.21
63%
Strike defense
47%
0.30
TDs / 15 min
0.52
67%
Takedown defense
62%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.75evenly matched on net striking+1.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1563 vs 1514Strikes4.7 vs 5.4Takedowns0.3 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Chris GutierrezBatgerel Danaa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Chris Gutierrez(10 fights)Batgerel Danaa(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +52.0|Blue -52.0
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris GutierrezTargetBatgerel Danaa

By target zone

20
38% acc · 49%
Head
20
23% acc · 67%
3
60% acc · 7%
Body
6
55% acc · 20%
18
86% acc · 44%
Leg
4
80% acc · 13%

By position

37
50% acc · 90%
Distance
24
25% acc · 80%
0
Clinch
1
100% acc · 3%
4
80% acc · 10%
Ground
5
63% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Chris Gutierrez rounds
0
even
1
Batgerel Danaa rounds
Round 1Batgerel Danaa edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:10
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 2Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
41 / 79
Sig Strikes
30 / 104
52%
Sig Str %
27%
42 / 81
Total Strikes
43 / 119
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 1
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:13
Ctrl Time
0:24

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Batgerel Danaa21 / 6634 / 811 / 10
1Chris Gutierrez21 / 4421 / 450 / 00
2Batgerel Danaa9 / 389 / 380 / 00
2Chris Gutierrez20 / 3521 / 360 / 00

Chris Gutierrez

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14

Batgerel Danaa

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4