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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Chris Gutierrez won · U-DEC R3
Elo1508
Elo1495
Alatengheili

Chris GutierrezvsAlatengheiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Saturday, October 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Gutierrez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChris Gutierrez: Elusive strikervsAlatengheili: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Chris Gutierrez wins(68.2%)

Actual result: Chris Gutierrez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Chris Gutierrez
Red Corner
VS
Alatengheili
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1508
Elo
1495
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Gutierrez
oldest →
L
vs Pedro Munhoz · Apr 23
L
vs Song Yadong · Dec 23
W
vs Quang Le · Aug 24
W
vs John Castaneda · Apr 25
L
vs Farid Basharat · Oct 25
latest
Alatengheili
oldest →
W
KOvs Kevin Croom · Apr 22
W
vs Chad Anheliger · Sep 22
W
vs Kleydson Rodrigues · May 24
L
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Apr 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris GutierrezMetricAlatengheili
4.40
Strikes / min
2.82
2.65
Strikes absorbed / min
5.12
63%
Strike defense
57%
0.30
TDs / 15 min
1.74
67%
Takedown defense
75%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.75Δ 4.05 — meaningful gap-2.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1573 vs 1532Strikes4.7 vs 2.6Takedowns0.3 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs 1.0
Chris GutierrezAlatengheili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Chris Gutierrez(10 fights)Alatengheili(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +12.2|Blue -12.2
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -217.0|Blue +217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris GutierrezTargetAlatengheili

By target zone

44
46% acc · 40%
Head
25
23% acc · 66%
10
50% acc · 9%
Body
10
48% acc · 26%
56
69% acc · 51%
Leg
3
75% acc · 8%

By position

110
56% acc · 100%
Distance
38
29% acc · 100%
0
0% acc
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Chris Gutierrez rounds
0
even
0
Alatengheili rounds
Round 1Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:08
14Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:51Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
110 / 197
Sig Strikes
38 / 133
55%
Sig Str %
28%
115 / 203
Total Strikes
39 / 134
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 4
—
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:08
Ctrl Time
0:51

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Alatengheili7 / 297 / 290 / 00
1Chris Gutierrez35 / 6535 / 650 / 00
2Alatengheili17 / 4617 / 460 / 00
2Chris Gutierrez38 / 6838 / 680 / 00
3Alatengheili14 / 5815 / 592 / 40
3Chris Gutierrez37 / 6442 / 700 / 00

Chris Gutierrez

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14

Alatengheili

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5