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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Davi Ramos won · SUB R3

Elo1494

Elo1387

Chris GruetzemachervsDavi RamosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · Saturday, December 9, 2017Fresno, California, USA

Official fight result

Davi Ramos won

SUB · Round 3 · 0:50

Style matchupChris Gruetzemacher: Pressure fightervsDavi Ramos: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Chris Gruetzemacher wins(57.7%)

Actual result: Davi Ramos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Gruetzemacher at +325 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Davi Ramos threatens submissions; Chris Gruetzemacher has lost 75% of fights by sub.
Davi Ramos has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Gruetzemacher

Red Corner

Davi Ramos

Blue Corner

+325

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-400

(80%)

1494

Elo

1387

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Gruetzemacher

oldest →

SUBvs Chas Skelly · Feb 17

KOvs Joe Lauzon · Apr 18

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 20

vs Rafa Garcia · Jul 21

SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Dec 21

latest

Davi RamosL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Nick Hein · May 18

SUBvs John Gunther · Nov 18

vs Austin Hubbard · May 19

vs Islam Makhachev · Sep 19

vs Arman Tsarukyan · Jul 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris GruetzemacherMetricDavi Ramos

6.18

Strikes / min

2.64

4.96

Strikes absorbed / min

3.44

52%

Strike defense

56%

0.21

TDs / 15 min

1.95

65%

Takedown defense

83%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.22Δ 2.02 — meaningful gap-0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris GruetzemacherDavi Ramos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Gruetzemacher(7 fights)Davi Ramos(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +107.3|Blue -107.3

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +3.3|Blue -3.3

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris GruetzemacherTargetDavi Ramos

By target zone

36% acc · 54%

Head

42% acc · 89%

71% acc · 22%

Body

80% acc · 7%

79% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

44% acc · 85%

Distance

42% acc · 80%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

69% acc · 16%

75% acc · 7%

Ground

33% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Gruetzemacher rounds

even

Davi Ramos rounds

Round 1Davi Ramos edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:13

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:19Control

Round 2Davi Ramos edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

1:04Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:01

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:30Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 97

Sig Strikes

55 / 124

52.7%

Sig Str %

42.3%

57 / 110

Total Strikes

65 / 136

0 / 0

TDs

5 / 9

—

TD %

53.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:14

Ctrl Time

3:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Davi Ramos	20 / 53	26 / 61	1 / 2	0
1	Chris Gruetzemacher	16 / 33	25 / 44	0 / 0	0
2	Davi Ramos	33 / 66	37 / 70	3 / 5	0
2	Chris Gruetzemacher	26 / 58	28 / 60	0 / 0	0
3	Davi Ramos	2 / 5	2 / 5	1 / 2	1
3	Chris Gruetzemacher	4 / 6	4 / 6	0 / 0	0

Chris Gruetzemacher

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Davi Ramos

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7