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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Chris Gruetzemacher won · U-DEC R3

Elo1494

Elo1490

Chris GruetzemachervsAbner LloverasUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · Friday, December 11, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Gruetzemacher won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChris Gruetzemacher: Pressure fightervsAbner Lloveras: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Abner Lloveras wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Chris Gruetzemacher wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Abner Lloveras at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Gruetzemacher has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Gruetzemacher

Red Corner

Abner Lloveras

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1494

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'11"

172.72 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Gruetzemacher

oldest →

SUBvs Davi Ramos · Dec 17

KOvs Joe Lauzon · Apr 18

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 20

vs Rafa Garcia · Jul 21

SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Dec 21

latest

Abner LloverasNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris GruetzemacherMetricAbner Lloveras

6.18

Strikes / min

6.27

4.96

Strikes absorbed / min

6.87

52%

Strike defense

43%

0.21

TDs / 15 min

2.00

65%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.22Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-0.60

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Gruetzemacher(7 fights)Abner Lloveras(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.5|Blue -3.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris GruetzemacherTargetAbner Lloveras

By target zone

38% acc · 41%

Head

38% acc · 59%

73% acc · 21%

Body

83% acc · 35%

95% acc · 38%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

54% acc · 79%

Distance

47% acc · 81%

71% acc · 21%

Clinch

67% acc · 19%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Gruetzemacher rounds

even

Abner Lloveras rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:11

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:14Control

Round 2Abner Lloveras edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:09

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:21Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:10

19Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:18Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

103 / 182

Sig Strikes

94 / 189

56%

Sig Str %

48.7%

135 / 217

Total Strikes

99 / 194

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 10

—

TD %

13.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:30

Ctrl Time

2:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Abner Lloveras	37 / 73	39 / 75	0 / 4
1	Chris Gruetzemacher	38 / 67	43 / 73	0 / 0
2	Abner Lloveras	38 / 75	38 / 75	0 / 1
2	Chris Gruetzemacher	36 / 59	38 / 61	0 / 0
3	Abner Lloveras	19 / 41	22 / 44	2 / 5
3	Chris Gruetzemacher	29 / 56	54 / 83	0 / 0

Chris Gruetzemacher

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Abner Lloveras

Stance—

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights1