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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Chris Daukaus won · KO/TKO

Elo1471

Elo1497

Chris DaukausvsParker PorterUFC Prediction Result

UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · Saturday, August 15, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Daukaus won

KO/TKO

Style matchupChris Daukaus: Pressure fightervsParker Porter: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Parker Porter wins(68.3%)

Actual result: Chris Daukaus wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Parker Porter at -118 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Daukaus enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Chris Daukaus is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Parker Porter has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Chris Daukaus has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Daukaus

Red Corner

Parker Porter

Blue Corner

-106

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-118

(54%)

1471

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris DaukausL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Shamil Abdurakhimov · Sep 21

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Dec 21

KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 22

KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 22

KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Aug 23

latest

Parker Porter

oldest →

vs Alan Baudot · Feb 22

SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 22

KOvs Justin Tafa · Feb 23

KOvs Braxton Smith · May 23

KOvs Junior Tafa · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris DaukausMetricParker Porter

6.05

Strikes / min

6.55

4.64

Strikes absorbed / min

6.32

55%

Strike defense

51%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.35

100%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.41Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+0.23

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris DaukausParker Porter

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Daukaus(8 fights)Parker Porter(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -26.5|Blue +26.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris DaukausTargetParker Porter

By target zone

59% acc · 78%

Head

27% acc · 71%

67% acc · 11%

Body

25% acc · 6%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 24%

By position

58% acc · 78%

Distance

30% acc · 82%

86% acc · 16%

Clinch

60% acc · 18%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Daukaus rounds

even

Parker Porter rounds

Round 1Chris Daukaus edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:35

Knockdowns2

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 59

Sig Strikes

17 / 52

62%

Sig Str %

32%

45 / 67

Total Strikes

18 / 53

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:35

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Parker Porter	17 / 52	18 / 53	0 / 0	0
1	Chris Daukaus	37 / 59	45 / 67	0 / 0	0

Chris Daukaus

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights8

Parker Porter

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8