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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Chris Curtis won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1483

Chris CurtisvsRodolfo VieiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Saturday, June 25, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Curtis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChris Curtis: Pressure fightervsRodolfo Vieira: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Chris Curtis wins(63.0%)

Actual result: Chris Curtis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Curtis at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Chris Curtis

Red Corner

Rodolfo Vieira

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1492

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris Curtis

oldest →

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24

vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24

KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25

vs Max Griffin · Jul 25

vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26

latest

Rodolfo VieiraL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Feb 24

vs Andre Petroski · Feb 25

vs Tresean Gore · Aug 25

KOvs Bo Nickal · Nov 25

DECvs Eric McConico · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris CurtisMetricRodolfo Vieira

5.52

Strikes / min

3.43

5.75

Strikes absorbed / min

4.28

54%

Strike defense

49%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.87

64%

Takedown defense

60%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris CurtisRodolfo Vieira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Curtis(10 fights)Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.7|Blue -8.7

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Layoff

Red -140.0|Blue +140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris CurtisTargetRodolfo Vieira

By target zone

59% acc · 73%

Head

53% acc · 74%

76% acc · 27%

Body

75% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 19%

By position

104

62% acc · 95%

Distance

59% acc · 97%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

60% acc · 3%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Curtis rounds

even

Rodolfo Vieira rounds

Round 1Rodolfo Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:13

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:08Control

Round 2Chris Curtis edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns0

Control0:04

41Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:57Control

Round 3Chris Curtis edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns0

Control0:18

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

109 / 174

Sig Strikes

86 / 145

62.3%

Sig Str %

60%

128 / 193

Total Strikes

90 / 149

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 20

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:35

Ctrl Time

2:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rodolfo Vieira	19 / 28	22 / 31	0 / 7
1	Chris Curtis	17 / 27	28 / 38	0 / 0
2	Rodolfo Vieira	41 / 64	42 / 65	0 / 3
2	Chris Curtis	46 / 67	49 / 70	0 / 0
3	Rodolfo Vieira	26 / 53	26 / 53	0 / 10
3	Chris Curtis	46 / 80	51 / 85	0 / 0

Chris Curtis

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11

Rodolfo Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11