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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Chris Camozzi won · U-DEC R3
Elo1360
Chris Camozzi
Elo1367

Chris CamozzivsVitor MirandaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · Sunday, May 29, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Camozzi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Vitor Miranda wins(67.5%)

Actual result: Chris Camozzi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vitor Miranda at -145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chris Camozzi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Camozzi
Red Corner
VS
Vitor Miranda
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
1360
Elo
1367
39
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris CamozziL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Tom Watson · Aug 15
W
KOvs Joe Riggs · Feb 16
L
SUBvs Thales Leites · Aug 16
L
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 16
L
vs Trevor Smith · May 17
latest
Vitor MirandaL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jake Collier · Dec 14
W
KOvs Clint Hester · Aug 15
W
KOvs Marcelo Guimaraes · Mar 16
L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 17
L
vs Abu Azaitar · Jul 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris CamozziMetricVitor Miranda
3.57
Strikes / min
2.98
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
2.95
56%
Strike defense
58%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
0.95
57%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61evenly matched on net striking+0.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1509 vs 1544Strikes45.5 vs 34.5Takedowns0.2 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs 0.8
Chris CamozziVitor Miranda

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Chris Camozzi(10 fights)Vitor Miranda(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -6.1|Blue +6.1
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +13.0|Blue -13.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris CamozziTargetVitor Miranda

By target zone

33
41% acc · 77%
Head
9
16% acc · 33%
2
67% acc · 5%
Body
4
22% acc · 15%
8
80% acc · 19%
Leg
14
74% acc · 52%

By position

32
41% acc · 74%
Distance
22
26% acc · 81%
5
100% acc · 12%
Clinch
3
100% acc · 11%
6
67% acc · 14%
Ground
2
50% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Chris Camozzi rounds
0
even
0
Vitor Miranda rounds
Round 1Chris Camozzi edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 2Chris Camozzi edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control3:46
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Chris Camozzi edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control1:51
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
43 / 93
Sig Strikes
27 / 92
47%
Sig Str %
36%
76 / 142
Total Strikes
49 / 116
1 / 1
TDs
1 / 2
100%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
5:37
Ctrl Time
0:14

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Vitor Miranda7 / 2123 / 391 / 10
1Chris Camozzi15 / 3024 / 520 / 00
2Vitor Miranda7 / 1311 / 170 / 00
2Chris Camozzi10 / 2033 / 460 / 00
3Vitor Miranda13 / 5815 / 600 / 10
3Chris Camozzi18 / 4319 / 441 / 10

Chris Camozzi

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19

Vitor Miranda

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7