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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Chris Camozzi won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1360

Elo1490

Chris CamozzivsJoe RiggsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · Sunday, February 21, 2016Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA

Official fight result

Chris Camozzi won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:26

Style matchupChris Camozzi: Elusive strikervsJoe Riggs: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Joe Riggs wins(50.1%)

Actual result: Chris Camozzi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joe Riggs at +185 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Camozzi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Joe Riggs (53.5%).
Chris Camozzi has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Camozzi

Red Corner

Joe Riggs

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1360

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris CamozziL3 streak

oldest →

vs Tom Watson · Aug 15

vs Vitor Miranda · May 16

SUBvs Thales Leites · Aug 16

vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 16

vs Trevor Smith · May 17

latest

Joe Riggs

oldest →

SUBvs Ben Saunders · Dec 14

vs Patrick Cote · Apr 15

vs Ron Stallings · Sep 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris CamozziMetricJoe Riggs

3.57

Strikes / min

2.41

2.96

Strikes absorbed / min

1.69

56%

Strike defense

57%

0.27

TDs / 15 min

2.45

57%

Takedown defense

62%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.61evenly matched on net striking+0.72

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris CamozziJoe Riggs

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Camozzi(10 fights)Joe Riggs(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -130.0|Blue +130.0

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris CamozziTargetJoe Riggs

By target zone

80% acc · 73%

Head

Body

100% acc · 27%

Leg

By position

100% acc · 36%

Distance

78% acc · 64%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Camozzi rounds

even

Joe Riggs rounds

Round 1Chris Camozzi edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 13

Sig Strikes

0 / 0

84%

Sig Str %

—

11 / 13

Total Strikes

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joe Riggs	0 / 0	0 / 0	0 / 0	0
1	Chris Camozzi	11 / 13	11 / 13	0 / 0	0

Chris Camozzi

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19

Joe Riggs

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4