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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Chris Camozzi won · S-DEC R3
Elo1360
Chris Camozzi
Elo1490

Chris CamozzivsDongi YangUFC Prediction Result

UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · Saturday, October 23, 2010Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Chris Camozzi won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChris Camozzi: Elusive strikervsDongi Yang: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Chris Camozzi wins(73.1%)

Actual result: Chris Camozzi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Camozzi at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chris Camozzi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Dongi Yang (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Chris Camozzi
Red Corner
VS
Dongi Yang
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
1360
Elo
1490
39
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris CamozziL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Joe Riggs · Feb 16
W
vs Vitor Miranda · May 16
L
SUBvs Thales Leites · Aug 16
L
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 16
L
vs Trevor Smith · May 17
latest
Dongi Yang
oldest →
W
KOvs Rob Kimmons · Mar 11
L
vs Court McGee · Sep 11
L
vs Brad Tavares · May 12
W
KOvs Jake Collier · Nov 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris CamozziMetricDongi Yang
3.57
Strikes / min
3.55
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
56%
Strike defense
63%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
1.70
57%
Takedown defense
61%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61evenly matched on net striking+0.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1500Strikes62.0 vs Takedowns0.0 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form1.0 vs 0.0
Chris CamozziDongi Yang

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Chris Camozzi(10 fights)Dongi Yang(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -130.0|Blue +130.0
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris CamozziTargetDongi Yang

By target zone

32
39% acc · 43%
Head
36
44% acc · 71%
25
86% acc · 34%
Body
7
88% acc · 14%
17
89% acc · 23%
Leg
8
100% acc · 16%

By position

58
54% acc · 78%
Distance
45
49% acc · 88%
16
70% acc · 22%
Clinch
4
100% acc · 8%
0
Ground
2
100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Chris Camozzi rounds
1
even
1
Dongi Yang rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:14
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:24Control
Round 2Dongi Yang edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:15
23Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 3Chris Camozzi edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:07
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
74 / 130
Sig Strikes
51 / 98
57%
Sig Str %
52.3%
85 / 145
Total Strikes
60 / 117
0 / 1
TDs
3 / 5
0%
TD %
66.7%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
0:36
Ctrl Time
2:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dongi Yang16 / 2920 / 381 / 10
1Chris Camozzi20 / 3925 / 460 / 00
2Dongi Yang23 / 3324 / 362 / 20
2Chris Camozzi22 / 3425 / 380 / 10
3Dongi Yang12 / 3616 / 430 / 20
3Chris Camozzi32 / 5735 / 610 / 00

Chris Camozzi

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19

Dongi Yang

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5