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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Bruno Santos won · S-DEC R3

Elo1360

Elo1490

Chris CamozzivsBruno SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · Saturday, July 5, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bruno Santos won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChris Camozzi: Elusive strikervsBruno Santos: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Bruno Santos wins(51.2%)

Actual result: Bruno Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bruno Santos at +220 American odds

+$220 profit

$320 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Camozzi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Chris Camozzi has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Camozzi

Red Corner

Bruno Santos

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1360

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris CamozziL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joe Riggs · Feb 16

vs Vitor Miranda · May 16

SUBvs Thales Leites · Aug 16

vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 16

vs Trevor Smith · May 17

latest

Bruno SantosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Krzysztof Jotko · Dec 13

vs Elias Theodorou · Oct 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris CamozziMetricBruno Santos

3.57

Strikes / min

1.18

2.96

Strikes absorbed / min

2.27

56%

Strike defense

56%

0.27

TDs / 15 min

3.00

57%

Takedown defense

66%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.61Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap-1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris CamozziBruno Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Camozzi(10 fights)Bruno Santos(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -129.8|Blue +129.8

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +2.9|Blue -2.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +30.0|Blue -30.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris CamozziTargetBruno Santos

By target zone

38% acc · 60%

Head

36% acc · 52%

82% acc · 21%

Body

57% acc · 16%

89% acc · 19%

Leg

100% acc · 32%

By position

41% acc · 64%

Distance

33% acc · 44%

67% acc · 10%

Clinch

100% acc · 44%

85% acc · 26%

Ground

43% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Camozzi rounds

even

Bruno Santos rounds

Round 1Bruno Santos edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:02

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:58Control

Round 2Bruno Santos edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:21Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:45Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 85

Sig Strikes

25 / 51

55%

Sig Str %

49.7%

67 / 111

Total Strikes

45 / 82

0 / 1

TDs

4 / 6

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

9:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Bruno Santos	12 / 22	13 / 23	0 / 2	0
1	Chris Camozzi	12 / 30	16 / 34	0 / 0	0
2	Bruno Santos	5 / 9	19 / 33	2 / 2	0
2	Chris Camozzi	12 / 15	20 / 23	0 / 1	0
3	Bruno Santos	8 / 20	13 / 26	2 / 2	0
3	Chris Camozzi	18 / 40	31 / 54	0 / 0	1

Chris Camozzi

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19

Bruno Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach—

Fights3