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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Chris Beal won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1357

Elo1365

Chris BealvsPatrick WilliamsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · Saturday, April 26, 2014Baltimore, Maryland, USA

Official fight result

Chris Beal won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:51

Style matchupChris Beal: Well-roundedvsPatrick Williams: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Patrick Williams wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Chris Beal wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Patrick Williams at +100 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Beal enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Chris Beal is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Patrick Williams has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Patrick Williams threatens submissions; Chris Beal has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Patrick Williams has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Patrick Williams has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Beal

Red Corner

Patrick Williams

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1357

Elo

1365

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris BealL3 streak

oldest →

vs Tateki Matsuda · Sep 14

vs Neil Seery · Jan 15

vs Chris Kelades · Aug 15

SUBvs Joe Soto · Jun 16

latest

Patrick WilliamsL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Jun 15

KOvs Tom Duquesnoy · Apr 17

vs Luke Sanders · Apr 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris BealMetricPatrick Williams

3.45

Strikes / min

4.12

3.18

Strikes absorbed / min

4.12

61%

Strike defense

52%

1.60

TDs / 15 min

2.71

78%

Takedown defense

100%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.27evenly matched on net striking0.00

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Beal(5 fights)Patrick Williams(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -7.7|Blue +7.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris BealTargetPatrick Williams

By target zone

36% acc · 84%

Head

30% acc · 43%

67% acc · 11%

Body

33% acc · 14%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

67% acc · 43%

By position

27% acc · 42%

Distance

39% acc · 79%

58% acc · 58%

Clinch

50% acc · 21%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Beal rounds

even

Patrick Williams rounds

Round 1Patrick Williams edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:03

11Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 2Chris Beal edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 49

Sig Strikes

14 / 35

41%

Sig Str %

37.5%

19 / 50

Total Strikes

15 / 37

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

66%

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Patrick Williams	11 / 26	12 / 28	2 / 3
1	Chris Beal	13 / 36	13 / 37	0 / 0
2	Patrick Williams	3 / 9	3 / 9	0 / 0
2	Chris Beal	6 / 13	6 / 13	0 / 0

Chris Beal

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5

Patrick Williams

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4