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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Chidi Njokuani won · S-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1489

Chidi NjokuanivsRhys McKeeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Saturday, March 30, 2024Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Chidi Njokuani won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChidi Njokuani: StrikervsRhys McKee: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Chidi Njokuani wins(55.9%)

Actual result: Chidi Njokuani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chidi Njokuani at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chidi Njokuani has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Chidi Njokuani has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chidi Njokuani

Red Corner

Rhys McKee

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1490

Elo

1489

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'2"

203.2 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chidi NjokuaniL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 23

vs Jared Gooden · Oct 24

KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 25

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 25

vs Carlos Leal · Feb 26

latest

Rhys McKee

oldest →

KOvs Khamzat Chimaev · Jul 20

vs Alex Morono · Nov 20

vs Ange Loosa · Sep 23

KOvs Daniel Frunza · Apr 25

KOvs Axel Sola · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chidi NjokuaniMetricRhys McKee

5.16

Strikes / min

4.71

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

7.15

57%

Strike defense

47%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

75%

Takedown defense

47%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.84Δ 4.28 — meaningful gap-2.44

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chidi NjokuaniRhys McKee

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chidi Njokuani(10 fights)Rhys McKee(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chidi NjokuaniTargetRhys McKee

By target zone

43% acc · 27%

Head

26% acc · 70%

72% acc · 28%

Body

63% acc · 17%

88% acc · 45%

Leg

80% acc · 13%

By position

61% acc · 72%

Distance

31% acc · 93%

78% acc · 28%

Clinch

67% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chidi Njokuani rounds

even

Rhys McKee rounds

Round 1Chidi Njokuani edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:17Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:32

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:37Control

Round 3Chidi Njokuani edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:21

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:47Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 98

Sig Strikes

30 / 93

66%

Sig Str %

32%

96 / 139

Total Strikes

40 / 105

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 7

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:53

Ctrl Time

6:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rhys McKee	16 / 43	17 / 44	0 / 0
1	Chidi Njokuani	23 / 34	29 / 44	0 / 0
2	Rhys McKee	9 / 21	11 / 25	0 / 3
2	Chidi Njokuani	15 / 21	37 / 48	0 / 0
3	Rhys McKee	5 / 29	12 / 36	0 / 4
3	Chidi Njokuani	26 / 43	30 / 47	0 / 2

Chidi Njokuani

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights10

Rhys McKee

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights6