← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Michal Oleksiejczuk won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1490

Elo1508

Michal Oleksiejczuk editorial illustration

Chidi NjokuanivsMichal OleksiejczukUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, August 26, 2023Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Michal Oleksiejczuk won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:16

Style matchupChidi Njokuani: StrikervsMichal Oleksiejczuk: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins(70.3%)

Actual result: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michal Oleksiejczuk at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chidi Njokuani has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Michal Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).
Chidi Njokuani has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chidi Njokuani

Red Corner

Michal Oleksiejczuk

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1490

Elo

1508

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'0"

203.2 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chidi NjokuaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Rhys McKee · Mar 24

vs Jared Gooden · Oct 24

KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 25

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 25

vs Carlos Leal · Feb 26

latest

Michal Oleksiejczuk

oldest →

vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24

KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25

KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26

SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chidi NjokuaniMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk

5.16

Strikes / min

5.85

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

4.50

57%

Strike defense

59%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.02

75%

Takedown defense

52%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.84evenly matched on net striking+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chidi NjokuaniMichal Oleksiejczuk

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chidi Njokuani(10 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -17.5|Blue +17.5

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chidi NjokuaniTargetMichal Oleksiejczuk

By target zone

33% acc · 24%

Head

53% acc · 70%

56% acc · 62%

Body

100% acc · 27%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

51% acc · 66%

Distance

47% acc · 39%

50% acc · 34%

Clinch

80% acc · 9%

Ground

74% acc · 52%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chidi Njokuani rounds

even

Michal Oleksiejczuk rounds

Round 1Michal Oleksiejczuk edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:09

44Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 57

Sig Strikes

44 / 72

50%

Sig Str %

61%

30 / 58

Total Strikes

54 / 85

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

1:36

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Michal Oleksiejczuk	44 / 72	54 / 85	1 / 1	0
1	Chidi Njokuani	29 / 57	30 / 58	0 / 2	0

Chidi Njokuani

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights10

Michal Oleksiejczuk

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights18