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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Chidi Njokuani won · Decision R3
Elo1490
Chidi Njokuani editorial illustration
Elo1514
Joel Alvarez

Chidi NjokuanivsJoel AlvarezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Saturday, August 15, 2026Philadelphia, USA

Official fight result

Chidi Njokuani won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chidi Njokuani has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chidi Njokuani
Red Corner
VS
Joel Alvarez
Blue Corner
+206
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-258
(72%)
1490
Elo
1514
37
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chidi NjokuaniL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Rhys McKee · Mar 24
W
vs Jared Gooden · Oct 24
W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 25
L
vs Carlos Leal · Feb 26
latest
Joel Alvarez
oldest →
W
SUBvs Marc Diakiese · Jul 23
W
KOvs Elves Brener · Aug 24
W
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Dec 24
W
vs Vicente Luque · Oct 25
L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chidi NjokuaniMetricJoel Alvarez
5.16
Strikes / min
4.53
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
3.03
57%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.18
75%
Takedown defense
46%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.84evenly matched on net striking+1.50
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Chidi Njokuani(10 fights)Joel Alvarez(10 fights)

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chidi NjokuaniTargetJoel Alvarez

By target zone

51
51% acc · 33%
Head
37
31% acc · 50%
56
74% acc · 36%
Body
19
76% acc · 26%
48
91% acc · 31%
Leg
18
95% acc · 24%

By position

149
67% acc · 96%
Distance
72
45% acc · 97%
6
86% acc · 4%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 3%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Chidi Njokuani rounds
0
even
0
Joel Alvarez rounds
Round 1Chidi Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes46
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Chidi Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Chidi Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes61
Takedowns0
Control0:12
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
155 / 229
Sig Strikes
74 / 164
67%
Sig Str %
45%
159 / 233
Total Strikes
76 / 166
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:12
Ctrl Time
0:26

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Joel Alvarez22 / 5022 / 500 / 00
1Chidi Njokuani46 / 6946 / 690 / 00
2Joel Alvarez25 / 5225 / 520 / 00
2Chidi Njokuani48 / 7048 / 700 / 10
3Joel Alvarez27 / 6229 / 640 / 00
3Chidi Njokuani61 / 9065 / 940 / 00

Chidi Njokuani

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights12

Joel Alvarez

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights12