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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Chidi Njokuani won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1495

Chidi NjokuanivsJared GoodenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Saturday, October 12, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chidi Njokuani won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChidi Njokuani: StrikervsJared Gooden: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Chidi Njokuani wins(58.3%)

Actual result: Chidi Njokuani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chidi Njokuani has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Chidi Njokuani

Red Corner

Jared Gooden

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1490

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

203.2 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chidi NjokuaniL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 23

vs Rhys McKee · Mar 24

KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 25

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 25

vs Carlos Leal · Feb 26

latest

Jared Gooden

oldest →

vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Mar 21

KOvs Niklas Stolze · Jul 21

vs Randy Brown · Oct 21

vs Carlston Harris · Mar 23

SUBvs Wellington Turman · Dec 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chidi NjokuaniMetricJared Gooden

5.16

Strikes / min

4.40

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

6.74

57%

Strike defense

45%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.91

75%

Takedown defense

65%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.84Δ 4.18 — meaningful gap-2.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chidi NjokuaniJared Gooden

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chidi Njokuani(10 fights)Jared Gooden(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.8|Blue +4.8

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -119.0|Blue +119.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chidi NjokuaniTargetJared Gooden

By target zone

60% acc · 47%

Head

35% acc · 65%

82% acc · 45%

Body

50% acc · 25%

90% acc · 9%

Leg

67% acc · 10%

By position

58% acc · 27%

Distance

33% acc · 70%

86% acc · 53%

Clinch

83% acc · 25%

60% acc · 20%

Ground

50% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chidi Njokuani rounds

even

Jared Gooden rounds

Round 1Chidi Njokuani edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control3:38

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:06Control

Round 2Chidi Njokuani edged it

Sig. strikes52

Takedowns0

Control3:15

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 3Chidi Njokuani edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control2:23

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:09Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

105 / 148

Sig Strikes

20 / 50

71%

Sig Str %

44.3%

162 / 207

Total Strikes

81 / 121

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 8

—

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

9:16

Ctrl Time

2:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jared Gooden	3 / 5	23 / 28	1 / 4	0
1	Chidi Njokuani	21 / 28	46 / 53	0 / 0	0
2	Jared Gooden	11 / 27	38 / 57	0 / 0	0
2	Chidi Njokuani	52 / 65	67 / 80	0 / 0	0
3	Jared Gooden	6 / 18	20 / 36	1 / 4	1
3	Chidi Njokuani	32 / 55	49 / 74	0 / 0	0

Chidi Njokuani

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights10

Jared Gooden

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7