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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Gregory Rodrigues won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1490

Elo1548

Gregory Rodrigues editorial illustration

Chidi NjokuanivsGregory RodriguesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Saturday, September 17, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Gregory Rodrigues won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:27

Style matchupChidi Njokuani: StrikervsGregory Rodrigues: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Gregory Rodrigues wins(70.7%)

Actual result: Gregory Rodrigues wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gregory Rodrigues at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Chidi Njokuani is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Gregory Rodrigues has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Chidi Njokuani has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chidi Njokuani

Red Corner

Gregory Rodrigues

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1490

Elo

1548

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

203.2 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chidi NjokuaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Rhys McKee · Mar 24

vs Jared Gooden · Oct 24

KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 25

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 25

vs Carlos Leal · Feb 26

latest

Gregory RodriguesW3 streak

oldest →

vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 24

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 25

KOvs Jack Hermansson · Jun 25

vs Roman Kopylov · Nov 25

KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chidi NjokuaniMetricGregory Rodrigues

5.16

Strikes / min

5.53

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

4.78

57%

Strike defense

50%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.90

75%

Takedown defense

75%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.84Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chidi NjokuaniGregory Rodrigues

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chidi Njokuani(10 fights)Gregory Rodrigues(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -57.9|Blue +57.9

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chidi NjokuaniTargetGregory Rodrigues

By target zone

52% acc · 30%

Head

46% acc · 71%

76% acc · 64%

Body

93% acc · 27%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

50% acc · 2%

By position

54% acc · 43%

Distance

50% acc · 50%

83% acc · 57%

Clinch

81% acc · 35%

Ground

33% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chidi Njokuani rounds

even

Gregory Rodrigues rounds

Round 1Gregory Rodrigues edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control1:34

Knockdowns0

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Gregory Rodrigues edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:06

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:35Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 65

Sig Strikes

48 / 90

66.5%

Sig Str %

52%

47 / 68

Total Strikes

60 / 102

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:40

Ctrl Time

1:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Gregory Rodrigues	32 / 50	44 / 62	0 / 2
1	Chidi Njokuani	36 / 53	39 / 56	0 / 0
2	Gregory Rodrigues	16 / 40	16 / 40	1 / 1
2	Chidi Njokuani	8 / 12	8 / 12	0 / 0

Chidi Njokuani

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights10

Gregory Rodrigues

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights13