Skip to content
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Chidi Njokuani won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1490
Chidi Njokuani editorial illustration
Elo1488

Chidi NjokuanivsElizeu Zaleski dos SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Saturday, March 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chidi Njokuani won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:19

Style matchupChidi Njokuani: StrikervsElizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Chidi Njokuani wins(61.1%)

Actual result: Chidi Njokuani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chidi Njokuani at +164 American odds

+$164 profit

$264 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chidi Njokuani has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chidi Njokuani
Red Corner
VS
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Blue Corner
+164
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-196
(66%)
1490
Elo
1488
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
203.2 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chidi NjokuaniL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 23
W
vs Rhys McKee · Mar 24
W
vs Jared Gooden · Oct 24
L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 25
L
vs Carlos Leal · Feb 26
latest
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
oldest →
W
vs Benoit Saint Denis · Oct 21
W
vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23
L
vs Randy Brown · Jun 24
W
KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24
L
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chidi NjokuaniMetricElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
5.16
Strikes / min
4.16
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
3.56
57%
Strike defense
55%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.79
75%
Takedown defense
67%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.84Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1609Strikes5.2 vs 4.2Takedowns0.0 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.40Form0.4 vs 0.3
Chidi NjokuaniElizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Chidi Njokuani(10 fights)Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chidi NjokuaniTargetElizeu Zaleski dos Santos

By target zone

17
45% acc · 37%
Head
5
18% acc · 29%
16
50% acc · 35%
Body
2
40% acc · 12%
13
76% acc · 28%
Leg
10
63% acc · 59%

By position

36
51% acc · 78%
Distance
13
30% acc · 76%
2
67% acc · 4%
Clinch
4
80% acc · 24%
8
62% acc · 17%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Chidi Njokuani rounds
0
even
0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rounds
Round 1Chidi Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:02
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:14Control
Round 2Chidi Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
46 / 87
Sig Strikes
17 / 49
52.5%
Sig Str %
34.5%
46 / 88
Total Strikes
19 / 54
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 5
TD %
12.5%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:10
Ctrl Time
1:14

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos9 / 2511 / 301 / 40
1Chidi Njokuani23 / 4523 / 460 / 00
2Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos8 / 248 / 240 / 10
2Chidi Njokuani23 / 4223 / 420 / 00

Chidi Njokuani

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights10

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights15