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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Chidi Njokuani won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1490

Elo1494

Chidi NjokuanivsDusko TodorovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · Saturday, May 21, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chidi Njokuani won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:48

Style matchupChidi Njokuani: StrikervsDusko Todorovic: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Chidi Njokuani wins(57.5%)

Actual result: Chidi Njokuani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chidi Njokuani at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chidi Njokuani is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Dusko Todorovic has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Chidi Njokuani has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Chidi Njokuani has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chidi Njokuani

Red Corner

Dusko Todorovic

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1490

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'1"

203.2 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chidi NjokuaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Rhys McKee · Mar 24

vs Jared Gooden · Oct 24

KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 25

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 25

vs Carlos Leal · Feb 26

latest

Dusko Todorovic

oldest →

KOvs Jordan Wright · Oct 22

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 23

KOvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Nov 24

vs Zach Reese · May 25

SUBvs Jose Daniel Medina · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chidi NjokuaniMetricDusko Todorovic

5.16

Strikes / min

4.73

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

4.40

57%

Strike defense

48%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.77

75%

Takedown defense

42%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.84Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chidi NjokuaniDusko Todorovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chidi Njokuani(10 fights)Dusko Todorovic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.1|Blue +4.1

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chidi NjokuaniTargetDusko Todorovic

By target zone

75% acc · 21%

Head

67% acc · 80%

80% acc · 57%

Body

100% acc · 20%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

By position

71% acc · 36%

Distance

0% acc

90% acc · 64%

Clinch

100% acc · 80%

Ground

100% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chidi Njokuani rounds

even

Dusko Todorovic rounds

Round 1Chidi Njokuani edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:50

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:13Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 17

Sig Strikes

5 / 7

82%

Sig Str %

71%

19 / 23

Total Strikes

9 / 11

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 7

—

TD %

28%

Sub Att

Rev

0:50

Ctrl Time

3:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dusko Todorovic	5 / 7	9 / 11	2 / 7	0
1	Chidi Njokuani	14 / 17	19 / 23	0 / 0	1

Chidi Njokuani

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights10

Dusko Todorovic

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10