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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Albert Duraev won · S-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1497

Chidi NjokuanivsAlbert DuraevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Saturday, March 25, 2023San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Albert Duraev won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChidi Njokuani: StrikervsAlbert Duraev: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Chidi Njokuani wins(50.4%)

Actual result: Albert Duraev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chidi Njokuani at -162 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chidi Njokuani is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Albert Duraev has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Chidi Njokuani has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chidi Njokuani

Red Corner

Albert Duraev

Blue Corner

-162

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+134

(43%)

1490

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'11"

203.2 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chidi NjokuaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Rhys McKee · Mar 24

vs Jared Gooden · Oct 24

KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 25

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 25

vs Carlos Leal · Feb 26

latest

Albert DuraevL2 streak

oldest →

vs Roman Kopylov · Oct 21

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 22

SUBvs JunYong Park · Jul 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chidi NjokuaniMetricAlbert Duraev

5.16

Strikes / min

2.99

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

3.01

57%

Strike defense

59%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.97

75%

Takedown defense

66%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.84Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap-0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chidi NjokuaniAlbert Duraev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chidi Njokuani(10 fights)Albert Duraev(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.4|Blue +6.4

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chidi NjokuaniTargetAlbert Duraev

By target zone

26% acc · 45%

Head

23% acc · 47%

71% acc · 38%

Body

33% acc · 4%

70% acc · 18%

Leg

81% acc · 49%

By position

40% acc · 98%

Distance

34% acc · 76%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

Ground

50% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chidi Njokuani rounds

even

Albert Duraev rounds

Round 1Albert Duraev edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:25Control

Round 2Albert Duraev edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Chidi Njokuani edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:37Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 99

Sig Strikes

45 / 123

42.7%

Sig Str %

37.7%

44 / 104

Total Strikes

68 / 159

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

4:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Albert Duraev	12 / 26	31 / 58	2 / 2
1	Chidi Njokuani	4 / 8	7 / 12	0 / 0
2	Albert Duraev	16 / 46	16 / 46	0 / 0
2	Chidi Njokuani	14 / 36	14 / 36	0 / 0
3	Albert Duraev	17 / 51	21 / 55	0 / 1
3	Chidi Njokuani	22 / 55	23 / 56	0 / 0

Chidi Njokuani

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights10

Albert Duraev

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4