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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Cheyanne Vlismas won · U-DEC R3
Elo1496
Elo1413

Cheyanne VlismasvsMallory MartinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · Saturday, December 4, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cheyanne Vlismas won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCheyanne Vlismas: Elusive strikervsMallory Martin: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Mallory Martin wins(51.6%)

Actual result: Cheyanne Vlismas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mallory Martin at +160 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cheyanne Vlismas has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Cheyanne Vlismas (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Cheyanne Vlismas
Red Corner
VS
Mallory Martin
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
1496
Elo
1413
31
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'4"
160.02 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cheyanne Vlismas
oldest →
L
vs Cory McKenna · Dec 22
latest
Mallory Martin
oldest →
W
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Dec 19
W
SUBvs Hannah Cifers · Aug 20
L
SUBvs Polyana Viana · Feb 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cheyanne VlismasMetricMallory Martin
4.93
Strikes / min
4.42
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
6.64
64%
Strike defense
55%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
2.28
66%
Takedown defense
25%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.36Δ 4.58 — meaningful gap-2.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1511Strikes4.9 vs 4.4Takedowns0.3 vs 2.3Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.30Form0.0 vs -0.1
Cheyanne VlismasMallory Martin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Cheyanne Vlismas(2 fights)Mallory Martin(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +82.7|Blue -82.7
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Grappler Score
Red +49.3|Blue -49.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cheyanne VlismasTargetMallory Martin

By target zone

102
46% acc · 76%
Head
65
34% acc · 81%
26
63% acc · 19%
Body
14
74% acc · 18%
6
86% acc · 4%
Leg
1
50% acc · 1%

By position

123
48% acc · 92%
Distance
66
34% acc · 83%
11
79% acc · 8%
Clinch
14
88% acc · 18%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Cheyanne Vlismas rounds
0
even
0
Mallory Martin rounds
Round 1Cheyanne Vlismas edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Cheyanne Vlismas edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:21Control
Round 3Cheyanne Vlismas edged it
Sig. strikes60
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
134 / 271
Sig Strikes
80 / 210
48.3%
Sig Str %
37.3%
146 / 283
Total Strikes
106 / 236
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 5
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
2:46

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Mallory Martin24 / 6426 / 660 / 00
1Cheyanne Vlismas37 / 8739 / 890 / 00
2Mallory Martin23 / 7035 / 820 / 20
2Cheyanne Vlismas37 / 8046 / 890 / 00
3Mallory Martin33 / 7645 / 880 / 30
3Cheyanne Vlismas60 / 10461 / 1050 / 00

Cheyanne Vlismas

StanceSwitch
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights2

Mallory Martin

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights4