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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Cory McKenna won · U-DEC R3

Elo1496

Elo1493

Cheyanne VlismasvsCory McKennaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Saturday, December 17, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cory McKenna won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCheyanne Vlismas: Elusive strikervsCory McKenna: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Cheyanne Vlismas wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Cory McKenna wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cheyanne Vlismas at -190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cheyanne Vlismas has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Cheyanne Vlismas (52.9%).
Cheyanne Vlismas has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cheyanne Vlismas

Red Corner

Cory McKenna

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1496

Elo

1493

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'3"

160.02 cm

Reach

147.32 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cheyanne Vlismas

oldest →

vs Mallory Martin · Dec 21

latest

Cory McKennaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kay Hansen · Nov 20

vs Elise Reed · Mar 22

SUBvs Miranda Granger · Aug 22

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Mar 24

vs Julia Polastri · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cheyanne VlismasMetricCory McKenna

4.93

Strikes / min

2.94

2.57

Strikes absorbed / min

3.68

64%

Strike defense

46%

0.25

TDs / 15 min

2.00

66%

Takedown defense

75%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.36Δ 3.10 — meaningful gap-0.74

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cheyanne VlismasCory McKenna

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cheyanne Vlismas(2 fights)Cory McKenna(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +245.0|Blue -245.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cheyanne VlismasTargetCory McKenna

By target zone

37% acc · 61%

Head

24% acc · 77%

62% acc · 24%

Body

43% acc · 14%

71% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

37% acc · 70%

Distance

24% acc · 82%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

67% acc · 9%

88% acc · 21%

Ground

100% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cheyanne Vlismas rounds

even

Cory McKenna rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:02

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:51Control

Round 2Cory McKenna edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:01

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:06Control

Round 3Cory McKenna edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:44Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 74

Sig Strikes

22 / 81

43.3%

Sig Str %

40.3%

66 / 113

Total Strikes

103 / 216

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

9:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cory McKenna	13 / 61	21 / 77	1 / 1	0
1	Cheyanne Vlismas	17 / 45	20 / 49	0 / 0	0
2	Cory McKenna	6 / 15	24 / 52	1 / 2	0
2	Cheyanne Vlismas	14 / 23	32 / 42	0 / 0	0
3	Cory McKenna	3 / 5	58 / 87	0 / 0	0
3	Cheyanne Vlismas	2 / 6	14 / 22	0 / 0	1

Cheyanne Vlismas

StanceSwitch

Height63.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights2

Cory McKenna

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach58.0"

Fights6