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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Cheyanne Buys won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1494
Elo1494
Gloria de Paula

Cheyanne BuysvsGloria de PaulaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · Saturday, July 31, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cheyanne Buys won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:00

Model Prediction: Gloria de Paula wins(51.9%)

Actual result: Cheyanne Buys wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gloria de Paula at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Cheyanne Buys (52.9%).
  • Gloria de Paula has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cheyanne Buys
Red Corner
VS
Gloria de Paula
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
1494
Elo
1494
26
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'5"
160.02 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cheyanne Buys
oldest →
L
vs Montserrat Conejo · Mar 21
latest
Gloria de Paula
oldest →
L
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Mar 21
W
vs Diana Belbita · Feb 22
L
vs Maria Oliveira · Jun 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cheyanne BuysMetricGloria de Paula
—
Strikes / min
4.89
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.77
—
Strike defense
66%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.74
—
Takedown defense
65%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1483Strikes4.3 vs 3.4Takedowns0.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Cheyanne BuysGloria de Paula

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Cheyanne Buys(2 fights)Gloria de Paula(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Cheyanne Buys

StanceSwitch
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights2

Gloria de Paula

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4