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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Joselyne Edwards won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1502

Elo1567

Chelsea ChandlervsJoselyne EdwardsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Saturday, April 26, 2025Kansas City, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Joselyne Edwards won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:31

Model Prediction: Joselyne Edwards wins(71.5%)

Actual result: Joselyne Edwards wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joselyne Edwards at -295 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joselyne Edwards enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Joselyne Edwards has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Joselyne Edwards has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Chelsea Chandler (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Chelsea Chandler

Red Corner

Joselyne Edwards

Blue Corner

+240

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-295

(75%)

1502

Elo

1567

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chelsea Chandler

oldest →

KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Oct 22

vs Norma Dumont · Jul 23

vs Josiane Nunes · Mar 24

vs Yana Santos · Aug 24

SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jun 26

latest

Joselyne EdwardsW4 streak

oldest →

vs Ailin Perez · Jun 24

SUBvs Tamires Vidal · Oct 24

KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Aug 25

SUBvs Nora Cornolle · Feb 26

DECvs Norma Dumont · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chelsea ChandlerMetricJoselyne Edwards

3.55

Strikes / min

4.61

4.44

Strikes absorbed / min

3.26

40%

Strike defense

50%

0.87

TDs / 15 min

1.29

28%

Takedown defense

62%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.89Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chelsea ChandlerJoselyne Edwards

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chelsea Chandler(6 fights)Joselyne Edwards(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -64.8|Blue +64.8

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chelsea ChandlerTargetJoselyne Edwards

By target zone

35% acc · 60%

Head

61% acc · 47%

50% acc · 20%

Body

60% acc · 10%

100% acc · 20%

Leg

93% acc · 43%

By position

43% acc · 90%

Distance

69% acc · 90%

50% acc · 10%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chelsea Chandler rounds

even

Joselyne Edwards rounds

Round 1Joselyne Edwards edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:49Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 23

Sig Strikes

30 / 42

43%

Sig Str %

71%

11 / 24

Total Strikes

35 / 47

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joselyne Edwards	30 / 42	35 / 47	1 / 1	0
1	Chelsea Chandler	10 / 23	11 / 24	0 / 0	0

Chelsea Chandler

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Joselyne Edwards

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12