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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Cheick Kongo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Cheick KongovsShawn JordanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · Saturday, July 21, 2012Calgary, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Cheick Kongo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCheick Kongo: WrestlervsShawn Jordan: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Shawn Jordan wins(51.1%)

Actual result: Cheick Kongo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shawn Jordan at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cheick Kongo is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Shawn Jordan has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Shawn Jordan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Cheick Kongo has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Shawn Jordan has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Shawn Jordan (53.5%).
Cheick Kongo has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cheick Kongo

Red Corner

Shawn Jordan

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1490

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'4"

Height

6'0"

208.28 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cheick KongoL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Paul Buentello · Mar 10

KOvs Pat Barry · Jun 11

vs Matt Mitrione · Oct 11

KOvs Mark Hunt · Feb 12

KOvs Roy Nelson · Apr 13

latest

Shawn Jordan

oldest →

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Mar 14

KOvs Jack May · Aug 14

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jan 15

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 15

vs Ruslan Magomedov · Oct 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cheick KongoMetricShawn Jordan

3.33

Strikes / min

2.87

1.28

Strikes absorbed / min

3.30

54%

Strike defense

47%

2.30

TDs / 15 min

1.97

52%

Takedown defense

76%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.05Δ 2.48 — meaningful gap-0.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cheick KongoShawn Jordan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cheick Kongo(6 fights)Shawn Jordan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +6.0|Blue -6.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cheick KongoTargetShawn Jordan

By target zone

42% acc · 34%

Head

19% acc · 40%

100% acc · 55%

Body

100% acc · 20%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 40%

By position

46% acc · 32%

Distance

18% acc · 13%

87% acc · 68%

Clinch

48% acc · 80%

Ground

20% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cheick Kongo rounds

even

Shawn Jordan rounds

Round 1Cheick Kongo edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:00

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:18Control

Round 2Cheick Kongo edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control2:05

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:14Control

Round 3Cheick Kongo edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control2:58

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:25Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 56

Sig Strikes

15 / 41

67.3%

Sig Str %

39%

64 / 84

Total Strikes

23 / 50

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 5

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:03

Ctrl Time

5:57

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Shawn Jordan	5 / 9	7 / 11	0 / 2
1	Cheick Kongo	10 / 19	20 / 29	0 / 0
2	Shawn Jordan	4 / 16	8 / 20	0 / 2
2	Cheick Kongo	14 / 18	24 / 29	0 / 2
3	Shawn Jordan	6 / 16	8 / 19	0 / 1
3	Cheick Kongo	14 / 19	20 / 26	0 / 0

Cheick Kongo

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights6

Shawn Jordan

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10