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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Cheick Kongo won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1490
Cheick Kongo
Elo1490

Cheick KongovsPaul BuentelloUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · Sunday, March 21, 2010Broomfield, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Cheick Kongo won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:16

Model Prediction: Cheick Kongo wins(63.6%)

Actual result: Cheick Kongo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cheick Kongo at -345 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cheick Kongo has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cheick Kongo
Red Corner
VS
Paul Buentello
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+315
(24%)
1490
Elo
1490
51
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
208.28 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cheick Kongo
oldest →
W
KOvs Pat Barry · Jun 11
W
vs Matt Mitrione · Oct 11
L
KOvs Mark Hunt · Feb 12
W
vs Shawn Jordan · Jul 12
L
KOvs Roy Nelson · Apr 13
latest
Paul BuentelloNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cheick KongoMetricPaul Buentello
3.33
Strikes / min
3.29
1.28
Strikes absorbed / min
3.83
54%
Strike defense
52%
2.30
TDs / 15 min
0.19
52%
Takedown defense
39%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.05Δ 2.59 — meaningful gap-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes32.9 vs 25.8Takedowns1.2 vs 0.2Sub Atts0.27 vs 0.40Form0.0 vs 0.0
Cheick KongoPaul Buentello

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Cheick Kongo(6 fights)Paul Buentello(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cheick KongoTargetPaul Buentello

By target zone

25
42% acc · 47%
Head
3
10% acc · 100%
19
90% acc · 36%
Body
0
9
69% acc · 17%
Leg
0

By position

10
26% acc · 19%
Distance
2
9% acc · 67%
17
77% acc · 32%
Clinch
1
20% acc · 33%
26
79% acc · 49%
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Cheick Kongo rounds
0
even
0
Paul Buentello rounds
Round 1Cheick Kongo edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns3
Control3:50
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Cheick Kongo edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns5
Control3:38
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Cheick Kongo edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control1:01
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
53 / 94
Sig Strikes
3 / 29
53%
Sig Str %
5.3%
137 / 187
Total Strikes
5 / 31
9 / 9
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
8:29
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Paul Buentello0 / 91 / 100 / 00
1Cheick Kongo10 / 2533 / 503 / 30
2Paul Buentello3 / 184 / 190 / 00
2Cheick Kongo39 / 6288 / 1185 / 50
3Paul Buentello0 / 20 / 20 / 00
3Cheick Kongo4 / 716 / 191 / 10

Cheick Kongo

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights6

Paul Buentello

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights1