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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Cheick Kongo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1356

Cheick KongovsMatt MitrioneUFC Prediction Result

UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · Saturday, October 29, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cheick Kongo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCheick Kongo: WrestlervsMatt Mitrione: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Matt Mitrione wins(65.5%)

Actual result: Cheick Kongo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Matt Mitrione at -128 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Matt Mitrione is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Cheick Kongo has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Matt Mitrione has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Matt Mitrione (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Cheick Kongo

Red Corner

Matt Mitrione

Blue Corner

+118

(46%)

Vegas Odds

-128

(56%)

1490

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'4"

Height

6'3"

208.28 cm

Reach

208.28 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cheick Kongo

oldest →

KOvs Paul Buentello · Mar 10

KOvs Pat Barry · Jun 11

KOvs Mark Hunt · Feb 12

vs Shawn Jordan · Jul 12

KOvs Roy Nelson · Apr 13

latest

Matt MitrioneL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Shawn Jordan · Mar 14

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Sep 14

KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Dec 14

SUBvs Ben Rothwell · Jun 15

KOvs Travis Browne · Jan 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cheick KongoMetricMatt Mitrione

3.33

Strikes / min

3.55

1.28

Strikes absorbed / min

2.79

54%

Strike defense

64%

2.30

TDs / 15 min

0.00

52%

Takedown defense

55%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.05Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cheick KongoMatt Mitrione

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cheick Kongo(6 fights)Matt Mitrione(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +134.1|Blue -134.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cheick KongoTargetMatt Mitrione

By target zone

26% acc · 52%

Head

33% acc · 71%

54% acc · 16%

Body

40% acc · 10%

61% acc · 32%

Leg

100% acc · 19%

By position

25% acc · 59%

Distance

37% acc · 95%

75% acc · 14%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

86% acc · 27%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cheick Kongo rounds

even

Matt Mitrione rounds

Round 1Cheick Kongo edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control1:00

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3Cheick Kongo edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns2

Control4:30

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 126

Sig Strikes

21 / 55

38%

Sig Str %

29.7%

70 / 159

Total Strikes

22 / 58

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:30

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Matt Mitrione	3 / 10	4 / 13	0 / 0
1	Cheick Kongo	7 / 23	9 / 25	0 / 0
2	Matt Mitrione	17 / 39	17 / 39	0 / 0
2	Cheick Kongo	19 / 72	19 / 72	0 / 0
3	Matt Mitrione	1 / 6	1 / 6	0 / 0
3	Cheick Kongo	18 / 31	42 / 62	2 / 2

Cheick Kongo

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights6

Matt Mitrione

StanceSwitch

Height75.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights13