Skip to content
Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Waldo Cortes-Acosta won · U-DEC R3
Elo1459
Chase Sherman
Elo1562
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Chase ShermanvsWaldo Cortes-AcostaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Saturday, November 19, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Waldo Cortes-Acosta won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins(60.9%)

Actual result: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Waldo Cortes-Acosta at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Waldo Cortes-Acosta enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Chase Sherman
Red Corner
VS
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
1459
Elo
1562
36
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chase Sherman
oldest →
L
vs Parker Porter · Aug 21
L
SUBvs Jake Collier · Jan 22
L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22
W
KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22
L
vs Karl Williams · May 23
latest
Waldo Cortes-AcostaW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jared Vanderaa · Oct 22
L
vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 23
W
KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Aug 23
W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jan 24
W
vs Robelis Despaigne · May 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chase ShermanMetricWaldo Cortes-Acosta
6.04
Strikes / min
6.65
Strikes absorbed / min
52%
Strike defense
0.09
TDs / 15 min
74%
Takedown defense
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1445 vs 1512Strikes6.0 vs 5.6Takedowns0.1 vs 0.6Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.20Form-0.4 vs 0.9
Chase ShermanWaldo Cortes-Acosta

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801508153515631590← oldermost recent →
Chase Sherman(10 fights)Waldo Cortes-Acosta(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -102.9|Blue +102.9
Recent Form
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +112.0|Blue -112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Chase Sherman

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights3