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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Shamil Abdurakhimov won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1459

Elo1447

Chase ShermanvsShamil AbdurakhimovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · Saturday, November 25, 2017Shanghai, Hebei, China

Official fight result

Shamil Abdurakhimov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:24

Model Prediction: Chase Sherman wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Shamil Abdurakhimov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chase Sherman at +105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Chase Sherman is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Shamil Abdurakhimov has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Chase Sherman has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chase Sherman

Red Corner

Shamil Abdurakhimov

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1459

Elo

1447

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'3"

198.12 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chase ShermanL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jake Collier · Jan 22

SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22

KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22

vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22

vs Karl Williams · May 23

latest

Shamil AbdurakhimovL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 19

KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21

KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22

KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chase ShermanMetricShamil Abdurakhimov

6.04

Strikes / min

2.41

6.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

52%

Strike defense

55%

0.09

TDs / 15 min

1.01

74%

Takedown defense

45%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.61evenly matched on net striking-0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chase ShermanShamil Abdurakhimov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chase Sherman(10 fights)Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.0|Blue -12.0

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -225.0|Blue +225.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chase ShermanTargetShamil Abdurakhimov

By target zone

33% acc · 80%

Head

63% acc · 83%

Body

50% acc · 17%

100% acc · 20%

Leg

By position

38% acc · 100%

Distance

60% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chase Sherman rounds

even

Shamil Abdurakhimov rounds

Round 1Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 13

Sig Strikes

6 / 10

38%

Sig Str %

60%

5 / 13

Total Strikes

6 / 10

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Shamil Abdurakhimov	6 / 10	6 / 10	0 / 0	0
1	Chase Sherman	5 / 13	5 / 13	0 / 0	0

Chase Sherman

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15

Shamil Abdurakhimov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights11