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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Chase Sherman won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1459

Elo1491

Chase ShermanvsRashad CoulterUFC Prediction Result

UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, May 13, 2017Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Chase Sherman won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:36

Style matchupChase Sherman: Pressure fightervsRashad Coulter: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Rashad Coulter wins(58.0%)

Actual result: Chase Sherman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rashad Coulter at -110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chase Sherman is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Rashad Coulter has lost 100% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Chase Sherman

Red Corner

Rashad Coulter

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1459

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

5'11"

198.12 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chase ShermanL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jake Collier · Jan 22

SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22

KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22

vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22

vs Karl Williams · May 23

latest

Rashad Coulter

oldest →

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Nov 17

KOvs Chris de la Rocha · Jun 18

vs Hu Yaozong · Nov 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chase ShermanMetricRashad Coulter

6.04

Strikes / min

4.82

6.65

Strikes absorbed / min

6.68

52%

Strike defense

50%

0.09

TDs / 15 min

0.00

74%

Takedown defense

62%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.61Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap-1.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chase ShermanRashad Coulter

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chase Sherman(10 fights)Rashad Coulter(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -32.5|Blue +32.5

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -48.1|Blue +48.1

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chase ShermanTargetRashad Coulter

By target zone

36% acc · 65%

Head

41% acc · 89%

92% acc · 11%

Body

100% acc · 8%

81% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

39% acc · 73%

Distance

40% acc · 81%

67% acc · 10%

Clinch

70% acc · 19%

69% acc · 17%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chase Sherman rounds

even

Rashad Coulter rounds

Round 1Chase Sherman edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Chase Sherman edged it

Sig. strikes64

Takedowns0

Control0:57

Knockdowns1

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

103 / 231

Sig Strikes

36 / 83

46.5%

Sig Str %

43.5%

107 / 235

Total Strikes

36 / 83

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:57

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rashad Coulter	15 / 44	15 / 44	0 / 0
1	Chase Sherman	39 / 132	39 / 132	0 / 0
2	Rashad Coulter	21 / 39	21 / 39	0 / 0
2	Chase Sherman	64 / 99	68 / 103	0 / 0

Chase Sherman

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15

Rashad Coulter

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4