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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Steven Peterson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1525

Elo1455

Chase HoopervsSteven PetersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Saturday, June 12, 2021Glendale, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Steven Peterson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChase Hooper: WrestlervsSteven Peterson: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Chase Hooper wins(69.7%)

Actual result: Steven Peterson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chase Hooper at -108 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Steven Peterson has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Chase Hooper (53.5%).
Chase Hooper has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chase Hooper

Red Corner

Steven Peterson

Blue Corner

-108

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-114

(53%)

1525

Elo

1455

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chase Hooper

oldest →

SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24

vs Jim Miller · Apr 25

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25

KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26

SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26

latest

Steven PetersonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Luis Pena · Mar 19

vs Alex Caceres · Jul 19

KOvs Martin Bravo · Sep 19

vs Julian Erosa · Feb 22

vs Lucas Alexander · Mar 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chase HooperMetricSteven Peterson

4.50

Strikes / min

4.76

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

5.94

39%

Strike defense

53%

2.43

TDs / 15 min

1.42

55%

Takedown defense

64%

2.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.48Δ 2.66 — meaningful gap-1.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chase HooperSteven Peterson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chase Hooper(10 fights)Steven Peterson(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +69.3|Blue -69.3

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -448.0|Blue +448.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chase HooperTargetSteven Peterson

By target zone

41% acc · 68%

Head

68% acc · 78%

100% acc · 29%

Body

89% acc · 16%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

51% acc · 90%

Distance

51% acc · 39%

Clinch

100% acc · 10%

50% acc · 10%

Ground

96% acc · 51%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chase Hooper rounds

even

Steven Peterson rounds

Round 1Steven Peterson edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:15

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:03Control

Round 2Steven Peterson edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control0:41

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:30Control

Round 3Steven Peterson edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control0:59

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:24Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 61

Sig Strikes

49 / 68

50.3%

Sig Str %

71.3%

98 / 132

Total Strikes

102 / 124

3 / 8

TDs

1 / 1

38.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:55

Ctrl Time

7:57

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Steven Peterson	24 / 32	34 / 42	0 / 0	0
1	Chase Hooper	13 / 24	17 / 28	1 / 3	2
2	Steven Peterson	14 / 21	36 / 45	0 / 0	1
2	Chase Hooper	11 / 18	35 / 45	1 / 3	0
3	Steven Peterson	11 / 15	32 / 37	1 / 1	1
3	Chase Hooper	7 / 19	46 / 59	1 / 2	0

Chase Hooper

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Steven Peterson

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8