← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Chase Hooper won · SUB

Elo1525

Elo1393

Chase HoopervsPeter BarrettUFC Prediction Result

UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · Saturday, December 12, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chase Hooper won

SUB

Style matchupChase Hooper: WrestlervsPeter Barrett: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Chase Hooper wins(68.7%)

Actual result: Chase Hooper wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chase Hooper at -310 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chase Hooper threatens submissions; Peter Barrett has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Chase Hooper

Red Corner

Peter Barrett

Blue Corner

-310

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+255

(28%)

1525

Elo

1393

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chase Hooper

oldest →

SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24

vs Jim Miller · Apr 25

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25

KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26

SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26

latest

Peter Barrett

oldest →

DECvs Youssef Zalal · Aug 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chase HooperMetricPeter Barrett

4.50

Strikes / min

4.18

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

4.32

39%

Strike defense

42%

2.43

TDs / 15 min

1.39

55%

Takedown defense

66%

2.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.48Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap-0.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chase HooperPeter Barrett

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chase Hooper(10 fights)Peter Barrett(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +132.1|Blue -132.1

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chase HooperTargetPeter Barrett

By target zone

27% acc · 32%

Head

33% acc · 35%

56% acc · 18%

Body

75% acc · 19%

88% acc · 51%

Leg

96% acc · 46%

By position

48% acc · 96%

Distance

56% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chase Hooper rounds

even

Peter Barrett rounds

Round 1Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:44

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

Round 3Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 117

Sig Strikes

48 / 87

51.3%

Sig Str %

51.3%

81 / 144

Total Strikes

61 / 100

0 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:44

Ctrl Time

1:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Peter Barrett	23 / 41	36 / 54	0 / 0	0
1	Chase Hooper	25 / 54	26 / 55	0 / 3	1
2	Peter Barrett	21 / 36	21 / 36	0 / 0	0
2	Chase Hooper	22 / 47	22 / 47	0 / 2	0
3	Peter Barrett	4 / 10	4 / 10	0 / 0	0
3	Chase Hooper	10 / 16	33 / 42	0 / 1	1

Chase Hooper

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Peter Barrett

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights2