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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Chase Hooper won · U-DEC R3

Elo1525

Elo1460

Chase HoopervsNick FioreUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · Saturday, May 20, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chase Hooper won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupChase Hooper: WrestlervsNick Fiore: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Chase Hooper wins(75.2%)

Actual result: Chase Hooper wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chase Hooper at +102 American odds

+$102 profit

$202 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nick Fiore has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Chase Hooper (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Chase Hooper

Red Corner

Nick Fiore

Blue Corner

+102

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1525

Elo

1460

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chase Hooper

oldest →

SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24

vs Jim Miller · Apr 25

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25

KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26

SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26

latest

Nick Fiore

oldest →

vs Mateusz Rebecki · Jan 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chase HooperMetricNick Fiore

4.50

Strikes / min

2.83

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

7.93

39%

Strike defense

42%

2.43

TDs / 15 min

2.50

55%

Takedown defense

71%

2.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.48Δ 6.58 — meaningful gap-5.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chase HooperNick Fiore

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chase Hooper(10 fights)Nick Fiore(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +65.0|Blue -65.0

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chase HooperTargetNick Fiore

By target zone

110

54% acc · 74%

Head

56% acc · 96%

91% acc · 21%

Body

100% acc · 2%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

61% acc · 65%

Distance

52% acc · 67%

58% acc · 28%

Clinch

65% acc · 22%

83% acc · 7%

Ground

86% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chase Hooper rounds

even

Nick Fiore rounds

Round 1Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes60

Takedowns0

Control0:55

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:32Control

Round 2Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes56

Takedowns0

Control0:54

15Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:36Control

Round 3Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns1

Control2:05

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:39Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

149 / 245

Sig Strikes

51 / 90

60.7%

Sig Str %

57%

217 / 340

Total Strikes

58 / 98

1 / 10

TDs

4 / 8

16.7%

TD %

55.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:54

Ctrl Time

4:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nick Fiore	17 / 32	20 / 35	1 / 3	0
1	Chase Hooper	60 / 101	68 / 112	0 / 3	0
2	Nick Fiore	15 / 31	16 / 32	2 / 2	0
2	Chase Hooper	56 / 90	74 / 112	0 / 5	1
3	Nick Fiore	19 / 27	22 / 31	1 / 3	0
3	Chase Hooper	33 / 54	75 / 116	1 / 2	0

Chase Hooper

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Nick Fiore

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights2